No. 1 seed Arizona (28-3) begins play in the Pac-12 tournament in a second-round matchup against Stanford. The Wildcats are the favorite to win in Las Vegas, going off as -120 in futures markets pre-tournament.
No. 9 seed Stanford advanced after a thrilling first-round upset of Arizona State, in which the Cardinal ended the game on a 16-1 run and won at the buzzer by a final score of 71-70.
Arizona was dominant in conference play, but will it take care of business in its first tournament action?
Check out our college basketball picks and predictions for the Stanford Cardinal and Arizona Wildcats on Thursday, March 10 to find out.
Arizona vs Stanford odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
Arizona opened as the sizable favorite of -15, where the line resides as of Wednesday night. The total has been set at 145 across the board.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Arizona vs Stanford predictions
Predictions made on 3/10/2022 at 1:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Arizona vs Stanford game info
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Date: Thursday, March 10, 2022
• Tip-off: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: Pac-12 Network
Arizona at Stanford betting preview
Injuries
Arizona: Dalen Terry G (Questionable).
Stanford: Noah Taitz G (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Cardinal are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win. Find more NCAA betting trends for Arizona vs. Stanford.
Arizona vs Stanford picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
Arizona is the conference favorite after running roughshod over the Pac-12 this season. The Wildcats hold a record of 28-3 overall and lost only twice in conference play. They’re sizable favorites of -15 in their first tournament action against Stanford.
Arizona is elite on both ends of the floor. The offense scores in bunches, ranking third nationally in scoring at 84.7 points per game. The Wildcats possess plenty of size and have no trouble getting off high-percentage shots, making 49.5% of their shots from the field (good for fifth nationally). The defense limits opponents to 66.7 points per game while ranking sixth nationally in field goal defense. Opponents make only 38.2% of their attempts from the field against this lengthy, stifling defense.
The analytics love this team. Arizona ranks second overall in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency — eight offensively and 12th defensively.
The Wildcats have been profitable against the spread, going 18-12-1 ATS on the season. They’ve been a double-digit favorite 13 times this season and are 9-4 in those games. Playing away from Tucson hasn’t been an issue, as Tommy Lloyd’s squad is 10-4 ATS in games away from home.
Stanford managed a 71-70 first-round upset of Arizona State thanks to a James Keefe buzzer-beater. The Cardinal trailed throughout but ended the game on an incredible 16-1 run to come away victorious. Credit to this team for hanging tough and mounting the comeback, but it was hardly a dominant win that will strike fear into Arizona. The Cardinal ended the regular season with only one win in their final eight games.
Stanford has a miserable offense, ranking dead last in the Pac-12 with only 65.8 points per game. One of its key strengths is rebounding, which will be negated against an enormous Wildcats frontcourt led by Christian Koloko, Azuolas Tubelis, Bennedict Mathurin, and Oumar Ballo.
The Wildcats swept the regular-season meetings, winning 85-57 in Palo Alto on Jan. 20 and 81-69 in the regular-season finale in Tucson.
Arizona deserves to be a double-digit favorite. The Wildcats have fared well in that role this season and already blew out Stanford once this season. Stanford is going to struggle to score. It will be at a size disadvantage, contrary to the first-round meeting with the Sun Devils. Arizona will be rested while Stanford is in a letdown spot after a thrilling come from behind victory.
Prediction: Arizona -15 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
These teams played twice this season, combining for 142 in the first matchup and 150 in the second. Arizona scored over 80 points in both games despite failing to cash in from down, going just 6 for 21 in the first meeting and 5 for 16 in the second.
The T-Mobile Arena appears to be a shooter-friendly environment, as teams were making it rain from downtown in the first round. Stanford allowed 15 threes to the Sun Devils in the first round, and they’ll give up a huge number to the Wildcats if the 3-point defense remains that leaky.
Stanford’s offense is dreadful, but we expect Arizona to put up a big number and therefore only need a mediocre performance from the Cardinal to hit the Over. The Wildcats play at the sixth-fasted adjusted tempo in the country (per KenPom), the pace-up environment should allow for both teams to contribute to the Over.
Prediction: Over 145 (-110)
Best bet
Arizona has been a powerhouse in the Pac-12 this season, and it’d be shocking to see Stanford keep this game within a few possessions.
The Wildcats are rested while the Cardinal are playing in a back-to-back. You don’t want tired legs when playing against this Arizona team and its intrepid pace.
Give us the better team to cover this large spread.
Pick: Arizona -15 (-110)
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