The Alabama Crimson Tide will welcome the Davidson Wildcats to Legacy Arena for a non-conference match-up on SECN+.
Alabama is 9-2 on the year with wins against Gonzaga and Houston to name a few. The Crimson Tide can beat anyone on any given night but also have losses to Iona and Memphis this season.
On the other hand, Davidson is 8-2 on the year and hasn’t lost a game since November 18. However, Davidson has yet to play a Top-25 team and will get their chance tonight. Here are our picks and predictions for the exciting matchup between the Davidson Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide.
Davidson vs Alabama odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Alabama Crimson Tide opened as an 8.5-point favorite. Since opening, Alabama moved up to -10 at most books. There are even some -10.5’s sitting around right now. The total hasn’t moved since opening at 149. However, a couple of books are holding a 149.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Davidson vs Alabama predictions
Predictions made on 12/21/2021 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Davidson vs Alabama game info
• Location: Legacy Arena at BJCC, Birmingham, AL
• Date: Tuesday, December 21, 2021
• Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: SECN+
Davidson at Alabama betting preview
Injuries
Davidson: No injuries to report.
Alabama: James Rojas F (Out), Nimari Burnett G (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Davidson vs. Alabama.
Davidson vs Alabama picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
Davidson isn’t easy to stop offensively. The Wildcats are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57% (seventh in the nation). The Wildcats are also turning the ball over just 15.3% of the time while shooting 41.6% from long range and 53.4% from inside the arc.
However, despite shooting at a high rate, the Wildcats have struggled to earn offensive rebounds. But when you’re shooting 41.6% from long distance, offensive rebounds don’t matter nearly as much. However, if shots aren’t falling one night, Davidson could struggle.
Defensively, Alabama has done well. They’ve held opponents to a 47.5% effective field goal percentage while also holding teams to a 28.2% three-point percentage. Inside, there’s room for Davidson to excel, knowing Alabama is allowing 50.6% inside the arc.
The Crimson Tide have also been lucky with teams shooting poorly from the line against them. Teams have shot just 63.3% from the foul line against Alabama. Davidson is much better at the line, shooting 76%, and would like to get there more often tonight.
On the other hand, Alabama is shooting a 55% effective field goal percentage while shooting 58.6% inside the arc. However, the Crimson Tide shoot plenty of threes and only hit 33.8% of them. Alabama is also shooting just 67.3% from the foul line. The one area where the Crimson Tide usually dominates the game is on the offensive glass, earning 34.6% offensive rebounds.
However, Davidson is limiting opponents to 22.5% offensive rebounds.
Therefore, I like Davidson getting the points in this game. On the road, it’ll be difficult, but a big shooting night could still be in store. Davidson assists on many more buckets than Alabama and don’t need to dribble to get open shots.
Prediction: Davidson +10.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
Davidson and Alabama both have Top-30 offenses when it comes to adjusted efficiency. The Wildcats are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57% while Alabama is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 55%.
There’s going to be plenty of offense in this game. Davidson makes foul shots at a high rate and limits turnovers while hitting 41.6% of threes. On the other hand, Alabama is shooting 58.6% from inside and should be able to get open looks from long range at home. There are no promises that Alabama dominates the offensive glass in this game, but Alabama will likely try to speed up this game and help the Over hit.
Prediction: Over 149 (-110)
Best bet
I’m taking Davidson +10.5 as my best bet. Davidson can ultimately stick around with any team in the country with the way they’re capable of shooting the ball.
On top of that, the Wildcats have been able to limit second chances and should be able to earn more turnovers in this game. Alabama will move too quickly at times which results in a bad shot or a turnover.
Plus, Alabama has been feasting off of teams shooting poorly at the foul line. That won’t happen with Davidson.
Pick: Davidson +10.5 (-110)
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