Georgetown vs Villanova Picks and Predictions: Hoyas Won't Roll Over

The Hoyas aren't going to win this game. But as an underachieving team that might not match up as poorly as the books think, there's value in them keeping this game within a massive spread. Find out more with our Georgetown vs. Villanova picks.

Jason Radowitz - Contributor at Covers.com
Feb 19, 2022 • 10:43 ET • 4 min read
Aminu Mohammed Georgetown Hoyas college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s been a disappointing season for the Georgetown Hoyas. Nobody is questioning the talent at Georgetown, but there are a lot of questions about what has exactly gone wrong with this program. 

The Hoyas are currently 0-14 in conference play and will now take on the Big East’s best in the Villanova Wildcats, on the road no less. The Wildcats are currently 13-3 in conference play and are currently ranked in the Top 10 in the AP poll. 

Will Georgetown show any kind of fight against Villanova? Here are our college basketball picks and predictions for Georgetown vs. Villanova on Saturday, February 19. 

Georgetown vs Villanova odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Wildcats opened as 21.5-point favorites but have since dropped to as low as -19.5 at some outlets. Meanwhile, the total has increased from 143.5 to as high as 145.5 at multiple sportsbooks.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Georgetown vs Villanova predictions

Predictions made on 2/19/2022 at 8:25 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Georgetown vs Villanova game info

Location: William B. Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA
Date: Saturday, February 19, 2022
Tip-off: 5:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Georgetown at Villanova betting preview

Injuries

Georgetown: Ryan Mutombo C (Questionable), Jordan Riley G (Out).
Villanova: No injuries to report.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Hoyas are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Georgetown vs. Villanova.

Georgetown vs Villanova picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Let’s just get this straight. I’d be shocked if Georgetown pulled off an upset on the road against Villanova. After all, Georgetown hasn’t won a single game in conference play and it’s not going to happen against the best team.  

However, we’ve seen Georgetown fight hard in the first halves of many games this year. If the Hoyas can keep it close through the first half, maybe the second half will be enough to allow Georgetown to get the cover. 

Hear me out. 

Georgetown is only shooting an effective field goal percentage of 46.5%. The Hoyas also turn the ball over nearly 19% of the time. However, Georgetown does have some length and is earning 32.6% offensive rebounds. Second chances will come around here and there. 

Plus, the Hoyas are shooting 35.2% from deep and 74.8% from inside the arc. Georgetown has struggled inside, shooting just 42.9%, which is odd, knowing this team is being coached by one of the greatest big men in NBA history in Patrick Ewing. 

Anyway, Villanova is an above-average defense, but teams are capable of scoring against the Wildcats. The Wildcats have held opponents to 31.3% from deep and 47.9% from inside the arc. However, Villanova has been able to hold teams off the foul line consistently this year. 

On the other hand, Georgetown’s defense has been atrocious. But it just has to be less atrocious than other games to cover a massive spread. Georgetown is allowing opponents to hit 36.7% from deep and 52.3% from inside the arc, however, Georgetown doesn’t foul all that much. 

Villanova also uses 19.6 seconds per possession and that should also limit the pace of this game. To beat Georgetown, a lot of teams have been quick, but Villanova likes to play out of the half-court and does very well at it. 

In a conference game, other than Gonzaga in the WCC, you won’t find me taking a favorite with a 20-point spread. I’ll take my chances with Georgetown. Again, the talent is capable. The Hoyas just need to put together a full 40-minute game.

Prediction: Georgetown +20.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

If Georgetown wants to stick around in this game, the offense will be a priority. The Hoyas are earning 32.6% offensive rebounds and shooting 35.2% from deep. At the line, Georgetown is also hitting nearly 75% of foul shots. 

This team has plenty of potential. It might not come out against Villanova, but if Georgetown can keep it close in the first half, I like their chances to help push this game Over the total. 

Prediction: Over 144.5 (-110)

Best bet

At the tip to start the game, we’ll have a Big East Conference team up 20.5 points. We’ll just be biting our fingers, hoping Georgetown can cover the massive spread in 40 minutes. 

But all joking aside, Georgetown has looked solid in the first halves of many games this year. The Hoyas get fatigued or just outworked eventually, but the talent is there. 

Sometimes a team just needs to play a big, bad opponent for them to wake up. I like Georgetown to play a hard-fought game tonight.

Pick: Georgetown +20.5 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Georgetown vs. Villanova picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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