LSU vs Missouri SEC Tournament Picks and Predictions: Louisiana State Wins Battle of the Tigers

The Missouri Tigers upset the Mississippi Rebels in the first round of the SEC Tournament but now things get tougher as they advance into the second round where the LSU Tigers await.

LSU hammered Mizzou when these schools faced off less than two weeks ago and oddsmakers are expecting another blowout with college basketball betting lines opening with LSU as an 11-point favorite.

Which Tigers team will be king for bettors today? We let you know in our free college basketball picks and predictions for LSU vs. Missouri on Thursday, February 9, with tipoff at 2:30 p.m. ET. 

LSU vs Missouri odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

This line hit the board soon after Missouri defeated Mississippi on Wednesday night. That opening spread was -11 in favor of LSU with the Over/Under set at 134. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

LSU vs Missouri predictions

• Prediction: LSU -11 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 134 (-110)
• Best bet: LSU -11 (-110)

Predictions made on 3/10/2022 at 9:10 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

LSU vs Missouri game info

• Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
• Date: Thursday, March 10, 2022
• Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV: SEC Network

LSU at Missouri betting preview

Injuries

LSU: No injuries to report.
Missouri: Anton Brookshire G (Out), Jordan Wilmore F (Out), Yaya Keita F (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

LSU is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games versus a team with a losing straight-up record. Find more NCAA betting trends for LSU vs. Missouri.

LSU vs Missouri picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

Missouri is fresh off a 72-60 win against Mississippi last night, winning outright as 4-point underdogs. But playing two games in less than 24 hours is tough for any college program, let alone one like Mizzou that used a short bench yesterday and had its three best players log more than 30 minutes apiece. 

Now the underdogs face off against a well-rested LSU squad that likes to push the pace on offense and locks in on defense where it ranks fifth in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom. 

That's bad news for an offensively inept Missouri team that ranks outside the Top 300 with a 46.7 EFG%. Mizzou might have beaten the Rebels and finished its regular season with a victory against god-awful Georgia, but prior to that had dropped six games in a row — including a 75-55 beatdown in Baton Rouge on February 26. 

LSU held Missouri to 36% shooting in that contest while knocking down 51% of its own shots.

Lousiana State is a bit inconsistent when it comes to shooting the ball but has dropped 75 points in five of its last six games and has four players averaging double-digits, led by sixth man Tari Eason and his 16.9 points per game. 

LSU will exhaust the other Tigers squad with their speedy tempo and scoring depth and once they pull ahead, Mizzou's awful 3-point shooting won't be able to cut into that lead. 

Prediction: LSU -11 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

We're not overthinking this one, sure the Over is 4-1 in Missouri's last five games but the Under that cashed during that span was the previous contest versus LSU. 

The length and athleticism that LSU has made it one of the top defensive squads in the country. The Bayou Bengals allow just 62.9 ppg while holding opponents to a paltry 38.4 FG% and 27.7% from deep — with both of those numbers ranking among the Top-6 schools in the nation. 

Now they get to feast on a far inferior Tigers squad that is 277th in the country with a 42.3 FG% and ranks 354th with a 27.8 3PT%. Mizzou also sits outside the Top 300 when it comes to turnovers per offensive play despite playing at a slower pace in the half-court.

This is going to be an ugly afternoon for Missouri offensively and LSU won't be able to put up nearly enough points to go Over this total. 

Prediction: Under 134 (-110)

Best bet

This is a pretty significant spread but it's worth mentioning LSU has typically taken care of business against inferior opposition, going 5-0-1 against the spread in its previous six contests against teams below .500.

Meanwhile, the Missouri Tigers are 2-7 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season so when people expect them to get destroyed they rarely prove them wrong. 

When these teams met up previously, LSU was a 13.5-point favorite and easily cashed. And while LSU won't be at home this time, an 11-point spread against a team on the tail-end of a back-to-back is more than reasonable.

Pick: LSU -11 (-110)

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