Creighton will look to move into a tie for first place in the Big East when it welcomes Marquette.
Though Marquette still sits at the top of the Big East and has won two of its last three, it has yet to play particularly well having gone 0-3 ATS in the previous three games.
There have been few teams that have been hotter than Creighton. The Bluejays have played like a borderline Top 5 team over the last month, fresh off an eight-game win streak.
What's the best bet for this one? Find out in our college basketball picks and predictions for Marquette vs. Creighton.
Marquette vs Creighton best odds
Marquette vs Creighton picks and predictions
I have yet to see many teams slow down Marquette's scoring. A Creighton defense that I'd consider slightly above average is not equipped to do that. Additionally, my projections make this total 152.5. The Over tonight will be my best bet.
The story of this game will be about how Creighton defends Marquette, and I expect Marquette to win several of those battles.
The Golden Eagles' offense is humming along to the tune of 1.1 points per possession (10th in the nation) and boasts the highest effective field goal percentage in college basketball. In the first game between these two schools, Marquette scored 69 points despite missing several open threes. The total easily went Under, but that was primarily because of what Creighton did rather than Marquette.
The other side of the ball's handicap is built on some obvious things.
Creighton wasn't healthy and was really struggling the first time these two met. That factored significantly into it scoring just 58 points. It would be utterly shocking to see something similar unfold.
Marquette could be a better defensive team. It allows an eFG of over 50% from the field, which places it in the 250s nationally, but more relevant to this matchup?
It’s regularly abused at the rim. It's hard to imagine one of the best-scoring big men in the Big East, Ryan Kalkbrenner, not taking advantage of that.
Take the Over here in what should be a tight game that sees over 70 possessions.
My best bet: Over 146.5 (-110 at bet365)
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Marquette vs Creighton spread analysis
I lean toward the value of Marquette to steal this one.
Head coach Shaka Smart's record as an underdog is tough to ignore, and my projections make this game a virtual toss-up. However, this spot for both teams won't allow me to do that.
Creighton is playing exceptionally well. I cannot ignore that. Also, Marquette has played pretty poorly lately, although it isn't necessarily shown in the win/loss column. Simply, it's hard to fade the team playing much better than the other.
I won't have a side here, but if I were to play this game, I'd take a shot on Marquette moneyline because of its value.
Creighton is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win, which would lead you toward Marquette's spread, however, only so many teams will be able to score on Creighton with the effectiveness that Marquette can. Because of that, if it covers the spread, it also wins outright.
Marquette vs Creighton Over/Under analysis
These two teams will come to Omaha ready to give everything. This game could decide the regular season champion of the Big East, and thus, you're going to see two teams that are focused on the best path to victory.
For both teams, that involves an up-tempo game, and I expect us to get that.
A few notable trends that also point us in the direction of an Over bet:
- The Over is 4-0 in Marquette games after an ATS loss.
- The Over is 19-7 in Marquette's last 26 midweek games.
- The Over is 8-4 in Marquette's games this season, where both teams have equal rest.
Marquette vs Creighton betting trend to know
The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams. Find more college basketball betting trends for Marquette vs. Creighton.
Marquette vs Creighton game info
Location: | CHI Health Center, Omaha, NE |
Date: | Tuesday, February 21, 2023 |
Tip-off: | 8:30 p.m. ET |
TV: | FS1 |