Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Picks and Predictions: Sooners Get Edge at Home

The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Oklahoma Sooners are both having disappointing seasons, but none of that will matter when these crosstown rivals clash on Saturday. These teams will lay it all on the line for the Bedlam series, but it’ll be Oklahoma that is looking to avoid the sweep here. 

Will the Sooners take advantage of their home court and pick up a win over the Cowboys? Keep reading our Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma college basketball picks and predictions for Saturday, February 26. 

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Sooners had been favored by 3.5 points when this line first opened, but one sportsbook dropped the number to 3. Now, it’ll be interesting to see whether or not the others follow. The total in this one opened at 129.5 and is now up to 130.5 in some places. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma predictions

• Prediction: Oklahoma -3 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 130.5 (-110)
• Best bet: Oklahoma -3 (-110)

Predictions made on 2/26/2022 at 12:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma game info

• Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK
• Date: Saturday, February 26, 2022
• Tip-off: 12:00 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma betting preview

Injuries

Oklahoma State: Chris Harris Jr. G (Out).
Oklahoma: Elijah Harkless G (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Oklahoma State is 0-6 against the spread in its last six games following an ATS win. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma.

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Oklahoma State won by nine when these teams met earlier in the year, but the Cowboys were the home team in that game. Now, the Sooners will have their fans out there to give them a boost, and they really should be able to handle their business in this one. Oklahoma is a lot better than its record suggests this year, as the team is 65th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency (all efficiency stats from KenPom.com) and 44th in adjusted defensive efficiency. 

This Sooners squad is solid on both ends of the floor, and the team is also 17th in the nation in Rim & 3 rate (according to ShotQuality.com). It really leans into analytics and takes the right types of shots, which should help against a very good Cowboys defense. The good looks that the Sooners have gotten all year might have resulted in a better record if Oklahoma wasn’t 320th in the nation in KenPom’s luck rating. 

One player that could make a huge impact in this game is forward Tanner Groves, who had 23 points the last time these teams met. Groves is a big body that can hit the three and tends to make the right plays with the ball in his hands. Oklahoma will be leaning on his veteran presence as the team looks to make a late-season push for a tournament bid. The Sooners likely need to win out in order to have any chance at that, which is part of the reason the tenacity should be there. 

The Sooners should also get some good play out of guys like Jordan Goldwire, Umoja Gibson and Jalen Hill. All of those players are averaging at least 9.1 points per game, but it’s Goldwire that will be crucial here. Oklahoma needs Goldwire to play well at the point guard position, and his experience should be big in helping get this Sooners team settled in an emotional game. 

Oklahoma will, however, need to be keyed in on guys like Avery Anderson III, Bryce Thompson and Bryce Williams here. All three are capable of scoring out of the backcourt, and Isaac Likekele is a threat to impact this game with his relentless motor. 

Prediction:Oklahoma -3 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Under is 9-2 when Oklahoma has played against teams with losing records. The average total points scored in those games was 128.5 ppg. The Under is also 5-1 when Oklahoma State faces teams that make 45.0% of their shots or better after the first 15 games of the year. A lot of that has to do with the type of defense this Cowboys team plays, as Oklahoma State makes its opponents work for everything. 

This should end up being a hard-fought battle, with these two rivals badly needing wins just to put themselves in a position to be eligible for the NIT at the end of the year. Also, when teams tend to underperform throughout the year, rivalry games like this one end up feeling like the Super Bowl to the players involved. With that in mind, there will be some extra adrenaline on the floor for these players to use on the defensive end. There will also be some extra nerves that lead to missed jumpers. 

Prediction: Under 130.5 (-110)

Best bet

The home team is 4-1 both SU and ATS in the last five meetings between these teams, so there’s no denying what type of impact the fans can have on the basketball version of the Bedlam rivalry. Also, with the way Oklahoma likes to play, the Sooners could go on some serious runs if the crowd is feeding the team momentum. It should also be noted that the Sooners might be just 14-14 on the season, but they are 10-5 when playing in Norman. 

Oklahoma State is also 4-7 against the spread when facing teams that attempt 21.0 or more threes per game this season, so this Oklahoma team makes for a tough opponent for the Cowboys. On top of that, Oklahoma State is 13-26 against the spread when the total is between 130 and 139.5 over the last three seasons. 

This is just a good opportunity to back the better team, especially with such a low line. The Sooners are really due for some good results down the stretch. 

Pick: Oklahoma -3 (-110)

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