Oregon vs Colorado Picks and Predictions: Buffaloes Run Wild at Home

The Colorado Buffaloes have lost two straight and four of their last five, and they’ll now try to get back on track with a home game against the Oregon Ducks. Colorado actually won the last time these two teams met, just recently on January 25. However, that only means that Oregon will be out for revenge this time around. 

Will the Ducks go into Boulder and beat the Buffs in this one? Keep reading our Oregon vs. Colorado college basketball picks and predictions for Thursday, February 3 to find out.

Oregon vs Colorado odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Colorado opened as a 1-point underdog in this game and the team is mostly getting that same number, but you can find it at 1.5 in some places. And while most of the early action is on the Over in this game, the total opened at 138.5 and stayed put at that number. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Oregon vs Colorado predictions

• Prediction: Colorado +1.5 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 138.5 (-110)
• Best bet: Colorado +1.5 (-110)

Predictions made on 2/3/2022 at 12:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Oregon vs Colorado game info

• Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
• Date: Thursday, February 3, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: FS1

Oregon at Colorado betting preview

Injuries

Oregon: No injuries to report.
Colorado: Tristan Da Silva F (Questionable), Lawson Lovering C (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Oregon is 1-10 against the spread in the last 11 games in which the team is coming off a win by 20 or more points. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon vs. Colorado.

Oregon vs Colorado picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Tristan Da Silva has been out since the last time these two teams met one another, and the sophomore had 15 points in that win for the Buffaloes. He has been missed since that game, as Colorado has lost two straight with him on the sidelines. With that said, while Colorado would love to have him in the lineup, it would be just fine if he were to end up needing to sit. He’s a rock-solid player, but a potential absence isn’t a make-or-break proposition for the Buffaloes. 

While Da Silva gave the team a big lift with his play the last time these teams clashed, it was star sophomore Jabari Walker that really took Colorado home. The forward, who is very much a target for NBA teams in the 2022 NBA Draft, had 24 points and 11 rebounds in that win for the Buffaloes. He was 9 for 11 from the field in that game and a perfect 5 for 5 at the line. Walker was just unstoppable in all aspects of the game in that contest, and it’s hard to imagine him not having another big game here — especially considering this one’s at home. 

Colorado’s home crowd can’t be ignored in a contest like this. The Buffaloes are ranked 54th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency this season (all efficiency stats from KenPom.com), so this group can be counted on to play some defense. However, the adrenaline of playing in a big conference game at home should only make this group better on that end, while also giving some of Colorado’s role players more confidence on offense. The Buffaloes should also get good looks against a Ducks D that’s just 118th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. 

All in all, this is just great value for a team that won the first head-to-head meeting between these programs this year. If the Buffaloes were able to win in Eugene, they can certainly pull it out in Boulder. Don’t be surprised if this is another game in which Keeshawn Barthelemy plays well for the Buffaloes. He had 19 points in the last meeting between these two and he looks like a future stud for Tad Boyle’s team. 

Prediction: Colorado +1.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Under is 13-4 when Colorado is coming off a loss by 20 or more points since Boyle became coach, and you can expect him to really drill the importance of getting stops into his team in this one. The Under is also 19-10 when the Buffaloes have played against teams that attempt 18.0 or fewer free throws per game with Boyle in charge, and the average total points scored in those games was 135.7. 

Don’t be too worried about the fact that these teams combined to score 160 points in their last meeting. With this one being played in Colorado, the Buffaloes will have more control over the tempo of this game. 

Prediction: Under 138.5 (-110) 

Best bet

Over the last two seasons, Oregon is 0-6 ATS when coming off a win by 20 or more points. Now, the Ducks have to go from that cupcake of a game to a tough road battle against a team that beat them in Eugene a week ago. That’s not going to be an easy adjustment, and Oregon is also just 9-19 ATS when playing on the road off a game in which the team shot 55.0% or better under head coach Dana Altman. This group just isn’t likely to go out there and light it up again. 

It’s also worth noting that the Buffaloes are 21-9 against the spread when coming off a performance where they scored 55 or fewer points under Boyle. They’re averaging 70.0 points per game after those offensive duds, and you can expect them to show up in a massive game for their postseason prospects. 

If that’s not enough, Colorado is 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 against the spread in home games against Oregon dating back to 2012. 

Pick: Colorado +1.5 (-110)

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