The Saint Louis Billikens will look to end Richmond Spiders’ three-game winning streak at home.
The Spiders are currently 9-6 in conference play and could use a couple more wins before the regular season is over. On the other hand, the Billikens are doing slightly better with a 10-5 record in league play.
Still, Davidson, VCU, Dayton, and St. Bonaventure, are all ahead of Saint Louis and Richmond in the standings. This game is crucial for seedings once the A-10 tournament begins.
Here are our college basketball picks and predictions for Saint Louis vs. Richmond on Friday, February 25.
Saint Louis vs Richmond odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Richmond Spiders opened as a 3-point favorite but are starting to drop to -2.5 at some outlets. However, the total hasn’t adjusted since opening at 143.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Saint Louis vs Richmond predictions
Predictions made on 2/25/2022 at 7:50 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Saint Louis vs Richmond game info
• Location: Robins Center, Richmond, VA
• Date: Friday, February 25, 2022
• Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN2
Saint Louis at Richmond betting preview
Injuries
Saint Louis: Javonte Perkins G (Out).
Richmond: Dji Bailey G (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Billikens are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Find more NCAA betting trends for Saint Louis vs. Richmond.
Saint Louis vs Richmond picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
Earlier this season, Saint Louis defeated Richmond 76-69 at home in the first A-10 meeting of the year, back on January 2. While it is good to put some weight on that game, both teams have been much better since then.
The Richmond offense has been interesting this season. The Spiders only average 73.3 points per game and rarely earn offensive rebounds.
However, Richmond limits turnovers to 14.3% per game and continues to shoot at an above-average rate from the field. From 3-point range, the Spiders are hitting 34.2% and from inside the arc, Richmond is knocking down 53.2% of shots.
At the foul line, the Spiders are literally average, with a free throw percentage of 71.6% — the league average as of right now. Anyway, the Spiders don’t get to the line very often but could end up seeing more attempts against a Saint Louis team that fouls at a high rate.
The Billikens have held opponents to 47.7% from the field but haven’t been able to earn many turnovers at just 18% this season. On the defensive glass, Saint Louis has been solid, holding teams to just 27.4% offensive rebounds.
On the other hand, the Billikens are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 51.1%. They’re capable of grabbing a whole bunch of offensive rebounds, earning 34.5% on the season, which is good for 20th in all of college basketball.
Saint Louis won’t shoot a whole bunch of threes, however, the Billikens are still shooting 36.4% from downtown. Inside, Saint Louis is shooting 49.6 percent and inside is really the only area where Richmond has defended well this season.
Opponents are shooting 49.1% against Richmond from inside and 35.7% from outside. You’d like to see Saint Louis adjust and take more threes in this game, but that’s unlikely. Meanwhile, Richmond also keeps teams away from the line at a solid rate, which will be helpful knowing Saint Louis shoots 76.7% from the foul line.
Ultimately, I like Richmond to pull away at home. The Spiders will limit turnovers and shoot at a higher percentage from inside the arc. Richmond will also get to the line at a higher rate as well, which will help the Spiders hold onto the lead.
Prediction: Richmond -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
On one hand, Richmond will limit turnovers and get a bunch of shot attempts. On the other hand, Saint Louis will earn a whole bunch of offensive rebounds and get second chances along with more attempts that way.
Therefore, both teams should be able to get a bunch of shots up in this game. These offenses are both currently in the Top 60 of KenPom and both teams have the potential to run this score up from the charity stripe.
I’m looking at the Over in this one.
Prediction: Over 143.5 (-110)
Best bet
If you’re looking for a game to watch tonight, this is the one. It’s a small slate filled with games that aren’t very intriguing. We might see this matchup for the third time in the A-10 Tournament.
Anyway, I still like Richmond to get the job done, at home. The Spiders won’t dominate the glass, but they’ll make smart decisions with the ball and find a way to win at home.
Pick: Richmond -2.5 (-110)
Did you know that if you parlayed our Saint Louis vs. Richmond picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?
Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
