The Texas A&M Aggies will take on the Wisconsin Badgers in the Maui Jim Maui Invitational Tournament. A&M is coming into this game with an undefeated record, but the road to 4-0 hasn’t exactly been easy.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin is 2-1 on the season and is coming off a loss to Providence, 63-58. With the game being played in the Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, both of these teams are essentially playing at 11 a.m.
Whichever team gets the better night's sleep could be the winner. Here are our free college basketball betting picks and predictions between the Texas A&M Aggies and Wisconsin Badgers.
Texas A&M vs Wisconsin odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Wisconsin Badgers opened as 3.5-point favorites, but have since moved down to a 2.5 point favorite at a couple of books. There are still outlets holding a 3.5, so shop around if you’re looking to take the Aggies with the points.
Meanwhile, the total opened at 121.5 and has stayed steady, but some books are hanging a 121 number. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Texas A&M vs Wisconsin predictions
Predictions made on 11/22/2021 at 7:26 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Texas A&M vs Wisconsin game info
• Location: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Date: Monday, November 22, 2021
• Tip-off: 2:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN2
Texas A&M at Wisconsin betting preview
Injuries
Texas A&M: Hayden Hefner G (Questionable), Jalen Johnson F (Out).
Wisconsin: Jonathan Davis G (Questionable), Jahcobi Neath G (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Texas A&M vs. Wisconsin.
Texas A&M vs Wisconsin picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
The Wisconsin Badgers haven’t been very impressive this season with two wins against bottom-tier teams in St Francis NY and Green Bay and a loss against Providence.
However, the Badgers will have their chance at proving themselves against an undefeated Texas A&M team.
Wisconsin is one of the top defenses on KenPom, ranking 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency. But offensively, Wisconsin is struggling. The Badgers are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 43.5 percent, and leading scorer Brad Davison is shooting 45.5 percent and averaging 16 points, but only one other key player is shooting above 45 percent on the season.
On the other hand, Texas A&M has played well defensively, forcing 28.6 percent turnovers through four games this season. However, it’ll be a tough task trying to force turnovers against a Badgers team that only turns the ball over 13 percent of the time.
The Aggies are also getting beat on the glass, giving up 32.9 percent offensive rebounds. So, despite Wisconsin taking bad shots, it’ll have second chance opportunities.
Texas A&M has also turned the ball over 20.9 percent of the time and while the Aggies are shooting better from the field, the turnovers will allow Wisconsin to take more shots throughout the game.
I’ll ride with Wisconsin.
Prediction: Wisconsin -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
There’s nothing to love about the Texas A&M offense. It's getting to the line at a solid rate but there’s a good chance that the Aggies don’t get as many free-throw opportunities against a more disciplined Wisconsin team.
The Aggies could very easily turn the ball over at least 20 percent of the time and, on top of that, A&M is taking 17.8 seconds per possession on average.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin is shooting 28.6 percent from three and 43.8 percent from inside. While second-chance opportunities will come, the Badgers are also taking 17.7 seconds per possession.
The under is a really low number but I still like it.
Prediction: Under 121.5 (-110)
Best bet
Texas A&M has played well this season with just one little scare against Abilene Christian, in double overtime. Abilene Christian made the NCAA Tournament last year, is extremely well-coached, and has a quality mid-major basketball program.
But the real test comes against Wisconsin, especially on the boards. Plus, A&M has been a bit careless with the ball from the start, and I don’t believe Wisconsin is really that poor of a shooting team either.
I’ll stick with the Badgers as my best bet.
Pick: Pick (Odds)
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