UCLA vs Washington Picks and Predictions: Huskies Take Advantage of Scheduling Dynamic

The Washington Huskies are overwhelming underdogs at home tonight against the UCLA Bruins. The Bruins may be caught looking ahead to a showdown against USC and, though a win remains probable, we don't like their odds at covering the 10.5-point spread.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
Feb 28, 2022 • 11:21 ET • 4 min read
Terrell Brown Washington Huskies College Basketball
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The UCLA Bruins (21-6) head to Seattle to face the Washington Huskies (14-13) tonight in PAC-12 action. The Bruins are one of the top teams in the conference and are fresh off a 39-point blowout win over Oregon State.

The Huskies have been hovering around .500 for the majority of the year but are 9-5 at Hec Edmundson Pavilion. Will the superior team pull away with a blowout victory, or will the Huskies be able to keep things close at home?

Check out our college basketball betting picks and predictions for the UCLA Bruins and Washington Huskies on Monday, February 28 to find out.

UCLA vs Washington odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

UCLA (-10.5 at the time of this writing) is a double-digit favorite on the road in what Vegas anticipates to be a blowout. The total opened at 139.5 and remains at that number at most books.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

UCLA vs Washington predictions

Predictions made on 2/28/2022 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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UCLA vs Washington game info

Location: Alaska Airlines Arena at Hec Edmundson Pavilion, Seattle, WA
Date: Monday, February 28, 2022
Tip-off: 11:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2

UCLA at Washington betting preview

Injuries

UCLA: Johnny Juzang G (Doubtful), Mac Etienne F (Out).
Washington: Samuel Ariyibi F (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Huskies are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games at home. Find more NCAA betting trends for UCLA vs. Washington .

UCLA vs Washington picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Mike Hopkins hasn’t had the success he’d likely hoped for in Seattle, but the Washington Huskies have been a tough out in 2021-22. Despite hovering around .500 for most of the season, the Huskies are a profitable 15-12 ATS. They have been especially adept at home, going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at Hec Edmundson Pavilion. Washington should not be considered an elite team by any stretch of the imagination, but the Huskies have found a groove lately, going 10-4 ATS over their last 14 games.

UCLA has been a much better team at home than on the road. The Bruins are 13-1 at Pauley Pavilion and 7-4 as the away team. We’re leaning toward Washington simply based on the home-away splits for both teams, and we have more conviction on that side given the scheduling dynamics.

It’s fair to question how motivated UCLA will be in this spot to blow out a middle-of-the-road PAC-12 opponent. The Bruins demolished Oregon State on Saturday by nearly 40 points and now head to Seattle to face a Huskies team fresh off a 78-70 win over Washington State. The next game on the calendar for UCLA is a matchup against a ranked USC team in what will be senior night for the Bruins.

Not only do we favor the Huskies against the spread due to the scheduling dynamic, but we also have questions about the health of the Bruins. Leading scorer Johnny Juzang missed Saturday’s clash with the Beavers due to a right ankle injury he sustained falling off a scooter. While the Bruins breezed past the hapless Beavers without Juzang’s services, his 17 points per game might be missed if he’s unable to go yet again. He’s listed as doubtful as of Monday morning.

Washington is led by dynamic guard Terrell Brown. The Arizona transfer is a potential PAC-12 Player of the Year, averaging 21.5 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. He’s the kind of do-it-all guard that will be needed against a proven, veteran Bruins unit. Emmitt Matthews is second on the team with 11.4 points per night.

We like the Huskies in this spot. It’d be no surprise if UCLA came out sleepy and Washington was able to keep things closer than expected. We don’t need the Huskies to win the game straight up, we simply need them to cover the 10.5-point spread. 

Prediction: Washington +10.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Under has been a pretty good bet for the Bruins lately, who are 14-3 to the Under in their last 17 games following a win. They’re 9-3 to the Under in their last 12 road games and will now be heading to Seattle.

Washington, meanwhile, is 8-1 to the Over in its last 9 overall. The Huskies have been topping the total at home, going 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games at Hec Edmondson. 

UCLA has been an Under team, while the Huskies have been an Over team — something has to give Monday night. 

The Huskies play at a fairly fast pace, ranking 56th in KenPom’s adjusted tempo metric. They’ll be playing at home and should be able to establish their up-tempo style here against the Bruins. UCLA ranks 15th in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency and should be able to put up points on a mediocre Huskies defense in a pace-up environment.

Prediction: Over 139.5 (-110)

Best bet

We like this scheduling spot for the Huskies. UCLA made a Final Four run a year ago and has its sights set on bigger tasks ahead, while the Huskies will be hungry at home.

Juzang is a significant loss if unable to go in this matchup as expected, even for a veteran team. We anticipate a close matchup and therefore will be taking the points with the home team as our best bet.

Pick: Washington +10.5 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our UCLA vs. Washington picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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JD Yonke
Contributor

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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