Things are not going well for the Virginia Tech Hokies this season. After winning the first five games of the season, the Hokies sit at just 10-10 overall and dropped to 2-7 in ACC play after losing on a last-second half-court shot against Miami.
Next up are the Florida State Seminoles, who are 8-1 at home this season. Will the Hokies turn things around, or will the Seminoles cover at home?
Check out our college basketball picks and predictions for Virginia Tech vs. Florida State on Saturday, January 29, to find out.
Virginia Tech vs Florida State odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
Florida State opened -1.5 but has been bet up to -2 across most books as of the time of this writing. The total has dropped from 132.5 to 131.5 as money comes in on the Under.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Virginia Tech vs Florida State predictions
Predictions made on 1/29/2022 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Virginia Tech vs Florida State game info
• Location: Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
• Date: Saturday, January 29, 2022
• Tip-off: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
Virginia Tech at Florida State betting preview
Injuries
Virginia Tech: None.
Florida State: Malik Osborne F (Out), Caleb Mills G (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Virginia Tech vs. Florida State.
Virginia Tech vs Florida State picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
Florida State was on a roll, winning six straight before dropping an ugly loss to Georgia Tech last time out. The Seminoles should gain an edge in this contest simply by playing on their home court, where they’re 8-1 on the season. The visiting Hokies are only 3-5 on the road.
One thing the Hokies have done well this season is shoot the three-ball, where they rank sixth nationally at a blistering 39.4%. Storm Murphy, Hunter Cattoor, and Nahiem Alleyne lead the shooting barrage, each averaging over 1.5 threes per game while shooting above 35%, respectively. Florida State has been susceptible to the long ball all season, ranking 299th in defending the arc. We believe that some positive regression is due for Florida State in this category, however, as they’ve faced some bad luck.
The Hokies are in a tailspin, having dropped three straight conference games and likely eliminating themselves from NCAA tournament consideration. They’re coming off a heartbreaking last-second loss to Miami and could come out deflated. The Hokies shot 50% from the floor and cashed in 13 of 26 three-point attempts, but still found a way to lose.
It’s hard to find a trend that supports the Hokies. They’re 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and the Seminoles are stellar at home. They don’t play well as an underdog (1-5 ATS in the last six as the dog), and they aren’t good on the road (1-5 ATS in the last six away games).
It hasn’t been smooth sailing for much of the season, but Florida State seems to have found its groove. They were primed for a letdown spot last time out, so we aren’t putting much stock into the Georgia Tech loss. Leonard Hamilton will have this team gaining steam right up until the postseason. We like them to cover the short spread at home.
Prediction: Florida State -2 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
Despite Florida State averaging 72.9 points and Virginia Tech averaging 69.3 points, the total sits at just 131.5 after dropping a point since the opening line. Is that warranted?
Typically a stingy defense under Leonard Hamilton, the Seminoles have slipped in that department. They’re allowing 68.8 points per game and haven’t been particularly special in any area. Teams are shooting 42.9% from the field and 35.6% from deep. This Hokies offense isn’t anything special at 69.3 points per game, but they shoot the ball well (46.4% from the field, 39.4% from deep).
The Seminoles offense has been a machine at home in ACC play, scoring 79 points or more in three of four games. The Hokies are solid defensively, but Florida State will score at home. We like the Over.
Prediction: Over 131.5 (-110)
Best bet
We think the reputation of these two teams is helping keep the total artificially low. Both are known as defensive-oriented teams, but Virginia Tech has been shooting the lights out and Florida State has been a wagon offensively at home. Give us the Over as our best bet.
Pick: Over 131.5 (-110)
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