Wichita State vs Memphis Picks and Predictions: Tigers Pull Away Inside FedExForum

Memphis has won seven of its last eight games inside the AAC and gets a great opportunity to add another W to the tally this afternoon against Wichita State — but can the Tigers cover the 9-point number? Read our NCAAB betting preview to find out.

Jason Radowitz - Contributor at Covers.com
Feb 27, 2022 • 10:03 ET • 4 min read
Jalen Duren Memphis Tigers college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers have put together a very solid second half of the season. Memphis has won seven of its last eight games and already beat its next opponent Wichita State, on the road, 82-64 earlier this year. 

The Wichita State Shockers have gone just 4-8 in conference play and might finish the season sitting around .500. 

Are the Shockers a team you should be backing in late February? Read our college basketball picks and predictions for Wichita State vs. Memphis to find out. 

Wichita State vs Memphis odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Memphis Tigers opened as an 8-point favorite and are now as high as -9 at many outlets. The total has changed slightly from 140 to 140.5 since opening. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Wichita State vs Memphis predictions

Predictions made on 2/27/2022 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Wichita State vs Memphis game info

Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date: Sunday, February 27, 2022
Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Wichita State at Memphis betting preview

Injuries

Wichita State: No injuries to report.
Memphis: Emoni Bates F (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Shockers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. Find more NCAA betting trends for Wichita State vs. Memphis .

Wichita State vs Memphis picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

There have been times this season when Memphis has come out flat. I don't see that happening tonight.

The Tigers are a terrific offense, but still, a young team that is prone to mistakes and turnovers. However, they've been shooting the lights out, knocking down 35.7% of shots from deep and 52.6% from inside the arc this season. 

On the glass, Memphis has earned 36.8% of offensive rebounds and the Tigers also continue to get to the line at a very high pace. From the foul line, the Tigers could be better, however, shooting 68.2% at the charity stripe. 

This season, Wichita State’s defense has been fine. It’s the offense that has lagged behind. On the defensive end, the Shockers have held opponents to 31.6% from deep and 46.5% from inside the arc. Wichita State has also earned 20.7% turnovers this season and could be able to take advantage of the Tigers in that area.

But Wichita State's offensive struggles (32.3% from three, 46% from two) should allow Memphis to find separation. The Tigers — who limit teams to just 32.6% from three and 44.9% from two this season — will have no problem limiting the Shockers on that end.

I just don’t see the Shockers keeping pace once the Tigers get going offensively. Back Memphis to cover the number at home.

Prediction: Memphis -9 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

Memphis is a fast-paced offense that should be able to put up points in a hurry tonight. But I still can’t trust Wichita State’s offense.

Sure, the Shockers could find themselves some easy buckets off turnovers or offensive rebounds, but overall, Wichita State’s offense averages under 69 points per game this season. 

Against Memphis, the Shockers were blown out and scored just 64 points. It takes two consistent teams to hit the Over on most occasions. 

Prediction: Under 140.5 (-110)

Best bet

The Memphis Tigers continue to see line movement in their favor. Wichita State is coming off an emotional loss to Houston, in double overtime and has now lost two straight games. 

The Shockers have had about a week to recover from that game and shouldn’t have heavy legs.

But ultimately, Wichita State played extremely well at home in that game. On the road, against Memphis, things will be a bit more difficult. 

Pick: Memphis -9 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Wichita State vs. Memphis picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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