East Carolina vs Cincinnati picks, predictions November 13

Cincinnati's star offensive players have been crushing opponents in the first half and resting in the game's latter stages. They could be in for more of the same Friday night against East Carolina.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 10, 2020 • 13:32 ET
Cincinnati RB Gerrid Doakes
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

College football betting on Friday night features the No. 7-ranked team in the country as the unbeaten Cincinnati Bearcats host the East Carolina Panthers in AAC action. Cincinnati is fresh off yet another impressive victory, defeating Houston 38-10, and NCAA football odds have them installed as massive 27.5-point favorites against 1-5 East Carolina.

We break down the college football odds with our best picks and predictions for East Carolina vs. Cincinnati on Friday, November 13, with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET.

East Carolina Pirates at Cincinnati Bearcats betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a cool and clear evening at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio with temperatures ranging from 34 degrees to 53 degrees and a mild breeze of 5.5 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

East Carolina: Traveon Freshwater DE (Questionable), Avery Jones OL (Out).
Cincinnati: Alec Pierce WR (Questionable), James Wiggins S (Questionable), Arquon Bush CB (Questionable), Bruno Labelle TE (Questionable), Charles McClelland RB (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for East Carolina vs Cincinnati.

 

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

While 27.5 points is a big line to cover, that's what happens when you've been as dominant as the Bearcats. Cincinnati is one of the best defensive teams in the country, holding FBS foes to just 10 points per game and its offense has made rapid strides in recent weeks, averaging 487.3 yards and 43 points per game over the last three contests. 

Each of the Bearcats last three wins have come by at least 28 points and it wasn't like they were destroying trash teams, with two of those victories coming against Memphis and Southern Methodist, which entered this season with AAC championship expectations.

With a 1-5 SU record this season, East Carolina IS a trash team. And although they've looked solid offensively, they don't have the talent to move the ball on Cincy. Take the Bearcats to win (and cover) and grab this line before it grows to more than four touchdowns. 

PREDICTION: Cincinnati -27.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The Pirates are surrendering a whopping 37.2 points per game, which has led to them going 4-2 to the Over this season. That said, their capable offense under veteran quarterback Holton Ahlers has also been a factor in that, with East Carolina putting up a respectable 29.2 ppg of its own.

Don't expect anywhere near that level of success against the Bearcats stifling defense. Cincinnati shut down two of the conference's most explosive offenses in SMU and Memphis in consecutive weeks, and East Carolina is nowhere near the level of those two programs.

With the Bearcats going 8-1 to the Under in their last nine AAC games take the Under on Friday night. 

PREDICTION: Under 56.5 (-110)

First Half Bet

Dominant teams like Cincinnati often rest their top playmakers once they get up big on the scoreboard. For example, running back Gerrid Doakes leads the team with 511 rushing yards, but 351 of those yards have come during the first half of contests. Likewise, 724 of quarterback Desmond Ridder's 1,126 passing yards this year have come within the first 30 minutes. 

While that makes the Bearcats a tough play on a full-game spread it makes their 1H lines a bit easier to swallow. Cincinnati is averaging 21 first-half points per game over their last three contests and is taking on a Pirates squad that has given up 19.3 first half ppg this season.

Back the Bearcats on the first half spread at -15.5.

PREDICTION: First Half Cincinnati -15.5 (-110)

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Betting Card

  • Cincinnati -27.5 (-110)
  • Under 56.5 (-110)
  • First Half Cincinnati -15.5 (-110)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA East Carolina vs. Cincinnati picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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