Tennessee vs Missouri Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Milton, Cook Pile Up Yardage in SEC Showdown

After putting up a valiant effort against the Georgia Bulldogs a week ago, the Missouri Tigers return home for an exciting matchup with the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday.

Despite being on the road, the college football odds are favoring the Vols by 1.5 points. Tennessee has lost two of its three road games this season, but its offense can put up points in bunches. Its high-octane attack will put pressure on the Tigers. 

Missouri will be disappointed not to have pulled out the win last week, but the Tigers will look to close out the season with three wins and finish second in the SEC East. A 10-win season is still on the table, and their fans will be fired up for a Top-15 showdown.

Our free college football picks and predictions for Tennessee vs. Missouri explain why they’re likely in for one heck of an entertaining afternoon on November 11.

Tennessee vs Missouri best odds

Tennessee vs Missouri picks and predictions

Our best bet for Saturday’s game sees us taking Over 57 points to be scored — despite the line having already moved up multiple points this week.

Tennessee loves to run a high-tempo offense, and it’s a key reason the Vols are 7-2 on the season. There are only 20 teams in college football who run more plays per game than the Vols, and their 6.62 yards per play ranks 18th in the country.

Joe Milton III has been on a tear of late. He’s not thrown an interception in his last three games, including the loss to Alabama, and he averaged more than 17 yards per completion against Kentucky and UConn.

Missouri has had a solid season, but it has yet to show its defense can slow anybody down. Aside from South Carolina’s anemic offense, Missouri’s other six opponents in the last seven games have all scored at least 21 points. LSU hung 49 on its defense just a few weeks ago, and Kentucky were tearing the Tigers apart before they ran into turnover problems.

Luckily for the Tigers, their offense is pretty explosive as well. Missouri’s averaging 6.4 yards per play, and are the best red-zone offense in the country with points on every trip inside the 20 this season. The passing attack is also ranked 11th in yards per pass, and 20th in completion percentage. 

In order to keep the game low scoring, the Tigers will need running back Cody Schrader to have a strong game. But that’s not been easy for any running back against Tennessee’s defense. The Vols love to load the box and dare teams to throw against them. It’s a key reason they’re allowing less than 100 rushing yards per game.

That’s going to help the Over. Tennessee’s man defense can be burned downfield, ranking 111th in completion percentage against. That’s in addition to Missouri taking great care of the ball, ranking seventh in turnovers per game. 

Further helping matters, Brady Cook should have the services of Luther Burden III. His status is still in the air after playing the second half injured against Georgia, but even if he can’t go, there are playmakers for Cook to turn to.

There’s one other factor in play, and that’s the Georgia hangover. The last five teams that faced the Bulldogs have allowed at least 33 points the following week. The Bulldogs wear teams down defensively, and their opponents tend to fade in the second half the following week.

So take a Tennessee offense facing a tired Missouri defense, and throw in a pinch of a Tigers’ offense that will find big completions aplenty against the Vols defense, and you have a recipe for a high-scoring affair. Take the Over and enjoy what should be an end-to-end matchup. 

My best bet: Over 57 (-110 at bet365)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

Tennessee vs Missouri same-game parlay

Over 56.5

Brady Cook 250+ pass yards

Tennessee moneyline

+320 at bet365

The last three SEC teams to face Tennessee have thrown for at least 200 yards, and Kentucky quarterback Devin Leary threw for 372 yards against the Vols pass defense. Cook managed over 200 yards against Georgia’s defense, and he’ll get to at least 250 against Tennessee.

Despite that, we’re backing Tennessee to get the win. The Vols will run a very high-tempo offense and Missouri’s defense will run out of steam as the game goes along.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Tennessee vs Missouri spread and Over/Under analysis

Tennessee is favored by 1.5 points, as the public quickly pounced on the opening number. The Vols moved from +1.5 to the current spread in a matter of hours at FanDuel.

The Vols are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, with only Alabama managing to cover against them. Not that the trend matters much, as Missouri has covered in six of its last seven games. 

Tennessee is coming off a blowout win over UConn in which it was able to rest players, and that’s going to be bad news for a worn-down Missouri team. I like the Vols to win and cover the number.

The total also moved quite a bit after opening with some variance this week. Many books started with 58.5 to see it drop a bit, while FanDuel again got taken by the public early as their opening total of 55.5 was bet up in very short order. 

The Tigers have seen their last two contests go Under, ending a string of five consecutive Overs. But Tennessee has gone Over in its last three, and in four of the last five. The Vols are clicking offensively, and they won’t take their foot off the gas. 

Tennessee vs Missouri betting trend to know

Tennessee’s team total has gone Over in each of its last four games. Find more college football betting trends for Tennessee vs Missouri.

Tennessee vs Missouri game info

Tennessee vs Missouri latest injuries

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