Washington vs Stanford Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Big Old Husky Performance

After a sloppy win last week, the Washington Huskies will be eager to stay undrafted but at some style points while doing so and they could not have asked for a better opponent. Our betting picks expect the Huskies offense to go off in this one.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Oct 27, 2023 • 11:56 ET • 4 min read

The Washington Huskies will look to remain undefeated as they visit the Stanford Cardinal for a Pac-12 showdown on Saturday night.

The Huskies (7-0) maintained their perfect record last weekend but had a sluggish outing in a 15-7 home win over the Arizona State Sun Devils. The college football odds still make Washington a heavy favorite over Stanford (2-5), which will try to put up a better performance than in their 42-7 loss to the UCLA Bruins last weekend.

Michael Penix Jr. will look to put the Huskies offense back into gear against an overmatched Stanford team that has struggled to score points against quality competition this year. We’ll break it down in our free college football picks and predictions for Washington vs. Stanford on October 28. 

Washington vs Stanford best odds

Washington vs Stanford picks and predictions

Stanford garnered national attention two weekends ago when they stormed back from 29 points down to beat the Colorado Buffaloes 46-43 in double overtime. But that was a rare explosion for an offense that has otherwise struggled to put together full games against Pac-12 competition. 

Stanford is averaging just 21.3 points per game on the season. Outside of the Colorado game, the Cardinal have put up just 10.8 points per game against their Pac-12 competition. Ashton Daniels has struggled to consistently move the ball, completing just 60% of his passes on the season, while Stanford has only totaled eight scores on the ground in seven games.

While Stanford has one outlier that might make their offense look solid, the Washington Huskies are coming off a singular performance that has made national pundits question their potency. Before Saturday’s stunning slog at home against the Sun Devils, Washington had scored at least 31 points in every game this year, surpassing 40 on four different occasions. 

Yet Arizona State showed a potential path to slowing down the Huskies. Washington needed a defensive touchdown to even get into double digits last week, while Penix put a dent in his status as a Heisman Trophy candidate after turning the ball over three times on the night. 

But while that result may be concerning, turnovers are usually as much a matter of luck as they are an indication of an issue with an otherwise healthy offense. It seems ridiculous to suggest that the Sun Devils figured out Penix in one week, and even if you think the Washington offense needs to clean things up, they’ll be motivated to do so against another weak opponent.

Penix should have his way with the Cardinal. Stanford is allowing 8.3 yards per passing attempt, allowing opponents to complete 69.3% of their passes, and giving up 315.9 yards per game through the air, all numbers that rank among the worst in the country. Even after last week’s debacle, Washington leads the nation in passing yardage and ranks third with 10.3 yards per passing attempt. 

Despite a disappointing performance last week, this should be an easy win for the Huskies. Expect Washington’s offense to run up the score against a Stanford defense that is allowing 36.9 points per game. Meanwhile, the Cardinal have very little in ways to stay in this game. Expect a blowout win for Washington, one that covers even this heavy spread.

My best bet: Washington -26.5 (-109 at Unibet)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

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Washington vs Stanford same-game parlay

Washington -26.5

Washington -6.5 1Q

Over 60.5 points

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Washington should score early and often in this game, and that idea drives my same-game parlay for Saturday’s matchup. We’ll start by taking Washington to cover the spread once again, but I’ll add in a couple of related bets that should give us significant value in our parlay.

First, I expect Washington to want to jump all over Stanford right out of the gate. Penix will want to atone for last week’s performance, and he has a terrible secondary to work against. I’m taking the Huskies to cover the first-quarter spread, which only requires them to be winning by a touchdown after 15 minutes.

Finally, I’m going to pick the Over to round out our SGP. Stanford may not have much of an offense, but they’re not facing an elite defense in Washington, either. We can expect the Cardinal to contribute somewhere around 10-17 points, while Washington lights up the scoreboard all night long. The Huskies could easily push into the 50s on Saturday, and that alone makes the Over a smart play.

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Washington vs Stanford spread and Over/Under analysis

Washington opened Saturday’s game as a 26.5-point favorite, and that line has held steady as the consensus spread. Most sites have both sides of the line at -110, though you can find Washington at -109 and Stanford at -108 by shopping around a bit.

Despite their dominant season, the Huskies are just 3-3-1 against the spread this year. Stanford has been similar, going 3-4 ATS so far in 2023.

I made the Huskies my best bet, as their offensive firepower should overwhelm a Stanford defense that cannot stop the passing game. That’s a green light for Penix to put up some Heisman Trophy numbers, working the ball around and scoring at will while Stanford continues to struggle to move the ball against quality opposition. Take Washington and lay the points.

The total in this game opened at 59.5 points. The consensus Over/Under has since jumped to 60.5 points, with some books pushing even farther to a flat 61. You can find -110 on the Over at 60.5 points, while the Under is available at -105 at some sites.

Both teams have tended slightly towards the Under this year. The Under is 3-4 in Washington’s games this season and has also gone 5-2 when the Cardinal play.

The problem I have with this game is the fact that Washington should score a ton of points, while Stanford has shown an inability to push the ball against Pac-12 competition. That puts the total at a reasonable number, as we could see Washington score around 50 and still produce a nailbiter for those who bet the Over. Still, with the Huskies poised to score at will, I’m leaning slightly towards the Over.

Washington vs Stanford betting trend to know

Stanford is 1-4 against the spread in its last five home games. Find more college football betting trends for Washington vs Stanford.

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Washington vs Stanford game info

Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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