Two collapsing Big Ten teams will meet on Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln when the Nebraska Cornhuskers host the Wisconsin Badgers with bowl eligibility on the line for both programs.
Find out why my Wisconsin vs. Nebraska predictions see a close, low-scoring game, as I serve up my best college football picks for Week 13 on Saturday, November 23 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Wisconsin vs Nebraska prediction and best bet
My best bet
Under 42.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
Wisconsin almost pulled off a massive upset last week at home against the top-ranked Oregon Ducks, ultimately falling 16-13 despite showing off its defensive prowess. Holding Heisman candidate Dillon Gabriel to only 218 yards passing with no touchdowns and an interception is a good sign as the Badgers face a possible Heisman candidate in Dylan Raiola this weekend.
The Badgers allow only 20.9 points (34th, nationally) and 326.5 total yards per game (33rd). There are three outlier games where they got destroyed and allowed 38+. However, they were extremely outmatched in those games and offensive mistakes led to those high scores.
Meanwhile, Nebraska ranks 100th in scoring and 99th in total offense. The Cornhuskers have scored 20 or fewer points in five consecutive games against a mix of both good and bad defenses. Still, they have held their own defensively against some strong offenses, limiting the Ohio State Buckeyes to only 21 points last month.
Both teams are terrible at converting in the red zone as the Badgers rank 98th in red-zone scoring percentage and the Cornhuskers rank 126th. Nebraska also has serious issues with special teams as it's allowed five blocked field goals and three blocked punts. It has also only converted six of 18 fourth down attempts, meaning Nebraska turns the ball over on downs a ton.
With that said, the Cornhuskers are excellent at winning the time of possession battle, which tells you how long their drives take before leading to a turnover or missed opportunity. That is an excellent recipe for betting the Under even despite the low number.
Wisconsin vs Nebraska same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 42.5
Dante Dowdell 50+ rushing yards
Will Pauling 40+ receiving yards
We will add two Overs on player props that should help our odds and be able to hit without affecting the total. We will start with Nebraska running back Dante Dowdell.
The Wisconsin defense's one weakness is against the run as it ranks 88th nationally. Dowdell has run for 50+ yards in four of the past five games and three straight.
Finally, I will take Will Pauling to go for 40+ receiving yards. He was shut down each of the last two games — although he left injured last week — but he is one of the most talented wide receivers in the Big Ten. Nebraska is missing its top defensive back due to injury, opening the lane even further.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Best Wisconsin vs Nebraska bonus
Up to $1,500 in bonus bet insurance at BetMGM
Make your football plays at BetMGM, which is offering new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets (if your first bet doesn't win)!
Sign up now to join the King of Sportsbooks, or learn more with our comprehensive BetMGM sportsbook review.
Eligible U.S. locations only. Also, see our full list of BetMGM bonus codes.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
More college football picks and odds from Covers
- Free college football picks
- College football odds
- College football National Championship odds
- Heisman Trophy odds
Wisconsin vs Nebraska odds
Wisconsin vs Nebraska live odds
Wisconsin vs Nebraska opening odds
- Wisconsin vs. Nebraska spread: Nebraska -2.5
- Wisconsin vs. Nebraska moneyline: Wisconsin +115, Nebraska -135
- Wisconsin vs. Nebraska Over/Under: 42.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Wisconsin vs Nebraska spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread opened at Nebraska -2.5 and has moved to 1.5 as of Friday afternoon.
- Wisconsin has won 10 consecutive matchups with Nebraska but is 4-5-1 against the spread in those games.
- The total has remained constant at 42.5. As of Friday afternoon, 4% of the bets and 30% of the money is on the Under.
- The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these programs.
Wisconsin vs Nebraska betting trend to know
Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in eight of their last 11 games. Find more college football betting trends for Wisconsin vs Nebraska.
Wisconsin vs Nebraska game info
| Location: | Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE |
| Date: | Saturday, 11-23, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | BTN |
Wisconsin vs Nebraska latest injuries
Wisconsin vs Nebraska weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
