Browns vs Falcons Preseason Picks and Predictions: Cleveland Stays Hot as Baker Hits Field

Baker Mayfield will make his preseason debut for Cleveland, which has looked good in both wins. The same can't be said about Atlanta, a 6-point underdog that will struggle to stop Mayfield. Find out more in our Browns vs. Falcons picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 28, 2021 • 15:53 ET • 4 min read
Baker Mayfield Cleveland Browns NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’re now in the final stages of NFL preseason where roster decisions need to be made and those on the bubble have to take their opportunities to seal a spot in the 53-man roster.

The Cleveland Browns travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons on Sunday in a game that will help finalize the rosters for both teams and give some starters action on the field, too.

See how we see this one going in our free NFL picks and predictions for Browns vs. Falcons on August 29.

Browns vs Falcons game info

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Date: Sunday, August 29, 2021
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBC

Browns vs Falcons odds

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Browns at Falcons betting preview

Weather

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Key injuries

Browns:  Denzel Ward CB (Out), Grant Delpit S (Out), Jacob Phillips LB (Out).
Falcons: AJ McCarron QB (Out), Deadrin Senat DL (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 meetings between these teams. Find more NFL betting trends for Browns vs. Falcons.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

As always we’re going to be looking at who starts under center as one of the key aspects in defining who’ll we wager on in this game.

Falcons beat reporters believe that we’ll see Matt Ryan for a series, perhaps even two, but Atlanta will be using this game to find its backup quarterback with AJ McCarron tearing his ACL last Saturday. Undrafted free agent Feleipe Franks is battling against former first-round pick Josh Rosen, who was signed on Tuesday. Rosen’s failed to live up to his billing during his time in the NFL but would consider himself unlucky in many respects, as this really feels like it could be the last chance saloon for the Californian.

The road team has been holding its cards close to its chest regarding who’ll be playing this week. The only man who we know will play is Baker Mayfield, with coach Kevin Stefanski confirming that the QB and a select group of starters will play in this final tune-up game.

It’ll mark Mayfield’s first appearance in the preseason and he’ll be relishing the chance to put the league on notice. How much of him we see is still unknown, but for as long as he’s on the field the Browns will be dangerous.

Stefanski has been very risk-averse throughout the preseason, with the majority of his projected starters seeing little or no game time. He is said to have spoken to the Falcons’ Arthur Smith and both teams have made the decision to play a number of starters, in addition to those fighting for roster spots.

The Browns have won both of their preseason games so far, beating the Jaguars 23-13 and the Giants 17-13. There has been a real buzz about their play and Donovan Peoples-Jones looks like a real star. 

The Browns are six-point favorites and we’ll be taking them to cover here, especially given the Falcons' horrid form in the preseason, which has seen them lose games against the Titans and Dolphins by 20 points each.

PREDICTION: Browns -6 (-110)

Over/Under pick

With a total points line of 36, the immediate thought is to back the Over. The Falcons have given up a combined 60 points in both games so far and Cleveland, especially one with Mayfield, feels more of a threat than the Titans and Dolphins. 

Cleveland has been fantastic but it has also given up some points with weak Jaguars and Giants teams able to score touchdowns against them.

With starters likely to see some time on the field we should see stronger defenses but I still think we’ll see this total passed. It’s not out of the question to see either side put up 20 points and I believe we could see a real shootout here.

PREDICTION: Over 36 (-110)

Browns vs Falcons betting card

  • Browns -6 (-110)
  • Over 36 (-110)

Picks made on 8/28/2021 at 8:33 a.m. ET

NFL parlays

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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