Monday Night Football picks & predictions: Chiefs vs Ravens

The most anticipated game of the season comes in Week 3, as the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Baltimore Ravens. Can bettors say no to backing the defending Super Bowl champs, getting 3.5 points?

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 25, 2020 • 01:58 ET
Kansas City Chiefs Pat Mahomes Baltimore Ravens Mat Judon NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Football fans get an absolute treat on the NFL betting board in Week 3 with a Monday Night Football clash between the two best teams in the league as the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs.

Both teams are 2-0 to start the year with the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs coming off an overtime win against the Los Angeles Chargers, while the Ravens have enjoyed back-to-back dominant victories, outscoring their opponents by a total of 49 points. 

We break down the NFL odds with our best picks and predictions for Chiefs vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football on September 28 with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET.  

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens betting preview

Weather

The forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and gametime temperatures in the low 70s with a 15 percent chance of rain and winds blowing up to 8 mph by kickoff (8:15 p.m. ET Monday). Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Chiefs: Ricky Seals-Jones TE (Out), Alex Okafor DE (Out), Andrew Wylie G (Out)
Ravens: Justice Hill RB (Out), Justin Madubuike DT (Out) 
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Chiefs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. Find more NFL betting trends for Chiefs vs. Ravens.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

These teams played against each other almost exactly a year ago with the Chiefs holding on for a 33-28 win at Arrowhead.

This season, the Ravens have looked dominant on both sides of the ball, while the Chiefs showed some cracks last week against the Chargers. That said, any time you have an offense as explosive as the Chiefs — and Patrick Mahomes at quarterback — you have more than a decent chance of winning a game.

Mahomes actually played better on the road than at home last year, completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,374 yards and 15 touchdowns against just two interceptions. He also shredded the Ravens for 374 yards through the air and three scores in last year's game. This should be a great game and if you're able to back the defending champs with points...you take it. 

PREDICTION: Kansas City +3.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under pick

Both squads obviously have two of the best quarterbacks (and the most high-octane offenses) in the league, but there's reason to suspect this game might end up sneaking Under the total.

The Ravens defense has looked terrific so far this season, allowing the fewest points and the second-fewest yards in the league. And the Chiefs stop unit hasn't been too shabby either, ranking ninth in the league in scoring defense and second in quarterback pressures.

Perhaps more importantly, the Ravens attack is very run-heavy — which leads to chewing up the clock. The Chiefs got owned when it came to ball control last week, with a time of possession of just 22:46 in regulation, and might look to close that gap by employing a more balanced attack against the Ravens. Take the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 54.5 (-110)

Player Prop

Reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson has been a highly-efficient passer so far this year. However, he hasn't been asked to throw the ball a whole lot, with just 24 pass attempts in Week 1 and 25 in Week 2. Last season, Jackson averaged 26.7 pass attempts per game, which makes the Over/Under of 32.5 on his pass attempts total a bit surprising. 

Jackson went Over that number in just four of 15 regular season games last year. Although one of those Overs was the contest against KC, it's worth noting that the Ravens trailed 23-6 at half in that game, which forced Jackson to throw the ball more. Expect a different game script this time around and take the Under.

PREDICTION: Lamar Jackson pass attempts Under 32.5 (-120)

Chiefs vs Ravens betting card

  • Kansas City +3.5 (-110)
  • Under 54.5 (-110)
  • Lamar Jackson pass attempts Under 32.5 (-120)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Chiefs vs. Ravens picks, you could win $56.82 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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