Commanders vs Cardinals Picks & Predictions for Week 4: Seibert Shines for Washington

Austin Seibert has proven to be a solid pickup at kicker for the Commanders, and our NFL betting picks will back him to pile up points in what should a high-scoring tilt with the Cardinals.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 28, 2024 • 14:35 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 22 hrs
ARI
55 %
WAS
45 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Austin Seibert Over 6.5 kicking points (-115) Austin Seibert Over 6.5 kicking points (-115)
Read Analysis
Washington Commanders NFL Austin Seibert
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Cardinals host the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon in a battle between two surprising 2-1 teams in the NFC.

The Commanders have been a relatively high-scoring team in the past two weeks, putting up both touchdowns and field goals aplenty.

Find out why my Commanders vs. Cardinals predictions and NFL picks expect Commanders kicker Austin Seibert to stay hot on Sunday, September 29.

Commanders vs Cardinals prediction

My best bet
Austin Seibert Over 6.5 kicking points (-115 at BetMGM)

My analysis

Betting on kickers may not be the most exciting thing in the world, but Washington Commanders kicker Austin Seibert has been strong through two games with the team. 

Washington cut kicker Cade York after Week 1 and Seibert has gone a perfect 8-for-8 through two weeks with five extra points as well.

The Commanders were able to move the ball in Seibert’s team debut in Week 2 against the Giants but could not find the end zone. That resulted in Seibert scoring all 21 points for Washington in the form of seven field goals; four from 20-29 yards, two from 30-39 yards, and one from 40-49 yards. 

The journeyman kicker followed that up with a 42-yard field goal and five extra points in an offensive explosion against the Bengals last week.

Cade York missed two field goals in Week 1 before getting released, and Seibert has gone Over 6.5 points in each of his two games with the Commanders. Look for that to continue in a dome vs. the Arizona Cardinals, as the total for this game is set at 49.

Commanders vs Cardinals same-game parlay

Commanders +3.5

Over 49

Brian Robinson anytime TD

Kicking props are not eligible for SGPs, so I'll start this one by backing the Commanders against the spread. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a surprising star for Washington, and I’m expecting him to continue to shine in Arizona.

Next up, I'll take the Over, as Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. will have their opportunities vs. a weak Washington defense too.

Running back Brian Robinson Jr. is splitting some time now with Austin Ekeler in the Commanders backfield but he’s still been the leading back. He’s scored in two of three games and the Cardinals have allowed a running back to score in each of the last two weeks, including both David Montgomery (rushing) and Jahmyr Gibbs (receiving) last week.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Commanders vs Cardinals odds

Commanders vs Cardinals live odds

Commanders vs Cardinals opening odds

  • Spread: Washington +5 | Arizona -5
  • Moneyline: Washington +190 | Arizona -220
  • Over/Under: Over 49 | Under 49

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Commanders vs Cardinals spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Cardinals opened as big 5-point favorites but the Commanders have been bet down to just +3.5 on the point spread as of Saturday afternoon.
  • The total moved a bit throughout the week to as high as 51, but it’s back down right where it opened at a flat 49.
  • The Cardinals have only hit the moneyline in four of their last 20 games (-6.90 Units / -34% ROI).
  • The Commanders have hit the 1H Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI).

Commanders vs Cardinals betting trend to know

The Commanders have hit the team total Over in seven of their last 10 away games (+4.10 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Cardinals.

Commanders vs Cardinals game info

Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Date: Sunday, 9-29-2024
Kickoff: 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Commanders vs Cardinals latest injuries

Commanders vs Cardinals weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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