NFL Odds for the AFC & NFC Conference Championship: Lines & Spreads for Both Games

The NFC Championship Game is a trilogy between divisional foes while the Bills and Chiefs add another chapter to their budding rivalry in the AFC title game.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2025 • 15:09 ET • 8 min read
NFL Conference Championship odds Patrick Mahomes
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates during their Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans.

NFL odds for the Conference Championships

Matchup Spread Moneyline Over/Under
CommandersCommanders
vs
Eagles Eagles
Eagles -6.5 Commanders +235
Eagles -290
46.5
BillsBills
vs
ChiefsChiefs
Chiefs -1.5 Bills +105
Chiefs -125
49.5

Lines courtesy of BetMGM as of 1-26.

And then there were four. 

With the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles underway, we wait for the AFC Championship Game between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs to kick off.

Here's a final look at the latest odds before our Super Bowl matchup is set.

Commanders vs Eagles odds (3:00 p.m. ET. FOX)

Terry McLaurin
Imagn Images. Washington Commanders WR Terry McLaurin (17) celebrates a first down in the Divisional Round.

Opening line

Philadelphia opened between -4.5 and -5, with QB Jalen Hurts battling through a knee injury suffered in the Divisional Round win over the Rams. Hurts has already said he'll be playing in the NFC Championship and that has this spread at Eagles -6 with a high as -6.5 on Sunday afternoon. The total opened between 48 and 48.5 O/U, with more books trending toward the lower number and that total trimming to 46.5 O/U on game day. The Commanders and Eagles split their two regular-season meetings, but Washington was able to win at home thanks to Hurts going down with a concussion early into that Week 16 encounter.

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Bills vs Chiefs odds (6:30 p.m. ET. CBS)

Trent McDuffie
Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs CB Trent McDuffie (22) celebrates with teammates after an interception in the Divisional Round.

Opening line

The Chiefs opened as 1.5-point home favorites hosting the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Early action has been on the home side, moving KC to as high as -2.5 but there is strong support showing for the Bills on game day and this spread is down to -1.5. Buffalo beat Kansas City 30-21 in Orchard Park back in Week 11, covering as 2.5-point home chalk. That final played Over the closing total of 47.5 points. The Over/Under for the AFC Championship opened at 48.5 O/U, dropped down to 47.5 points but is back up to 49.5 points on Championship Sunday.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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