Two teams who absolutely need a victory will meet at Levi Stadium Sunday night under the lights as the San Francisco 49ers and their walking wounded host the Dallas Cowboys who are coming off the bye but still not healthy on defense. This line has been moving a lot between 7 and 3.5 as bettors try to get ahead of the injury news.
Either way, bettors should expect more of the same from the Cowboys Sunday night and that is a pass-first offense that still gives meaningful carries to Ezekiel Elliott and wonders why it can't run the ball effectively. It should be another busy day for Dak Prescott and the passing game.
These are my free picks and predictions for SNF.
Cowboys vs 49ers SNF prediction
Who will win Cowboys vs 49ers?
Don't overthink this. Yes, the injuries are piling up, but there is still a lot of talent on this offense and Dallas has zero running game making their offense very predictable. 49ers roll and the noise in Jerry World gets even louder following the bye. I like the 49ers at -3.5 as that number could lengthen if SF gets healtier and Dallas' defense doesn't return any bodies.
My best bet
Dak Prescott 35+pass attempts (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
Dak Prescott threw just 33 passes in his last game but was pulled late and could have racked up the pass attempts in garbage time. The week before that, he threw the ball 42 times in the outdoor setting of Heinz Field in Pittsburgh. On the season, he is averaging 37 pass attempts per game but also 0.61 passes per snap which is a 61% pass rate. Only Seattle is passing the ball more than Dallas as the Cowboys running game is broken and beyond repair.
Rico Dowdle has more than 46 yards rushing once this year and ranks 31st at his position in yards per rush. This is still a pass-first offense that is giving Ezekiel Elliott five to eight carries a game at 3.0 yards per tote. Dallas is not running the ball Sunday and expect another heavy passing game from Prescott who has had to sit through a bye week after getting benched late in Week 6.
THE BLITZ is projecting nearly 37 attempts from the Dallas QB who has seen this market close at 36.5 or higher in half of his games. It was 37.5 vs. the Lions in Week 6 and was well on its way to going Over until he was benched.
There are a ton of injuries on the 49ers, but one thing that is certain in this game is that the Cowboys can’t run and Prescott and his team’s pass-first mentality are going to rack up the pass attempts Sunday night. Garbage time is a big path for success here.
Cowboys vs 49ers SNF same-game parlay
Prescott 250+ passing yards
Purdy 250+ passing yards
Lamb 75+ receiving yards
Kittle 50+ receiving yards
There are a lot of moving pieces to this game offensively, but one thing that bettors should bank on is a busy day from Prescott who should have no issues force-feeding Lamb for 75 yards on a dozen targets. The WR hasn’t hit 100 yards this year, yet, but is averaging 78 yards on 25% share of each route. His air-yard share is down 10 points to 26.5% this year so there is a lot of room for more production and hopefully the bye fixed those issues.
Looking at the 49ers, George Kittle could be target No.1 Sunday night as Deebo Samuel could be out/limited, Juan Jennings is not practicing, and Brandon Aiyuk is lost for the season. Kittle is coming off his best game of the year vs. KC in a Week 7 loss going for 92 yards on six catches. The Cowboys are still dealing with lots of defensive injuries in the pass rush and in the secondary and Kittle could have a couple of big grabs this weekend.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Cowboys vs 49ers odds
Cowboys vs 49ers live odds
Cowboys vs 49ers opening odds
- Spread: Dallas +4.5 | San Francisco -4.5
- Moneyline: Dallas +175 | San Francisco -210
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Cowboys vs 49ers spread and Over/Under analysis
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This spread was as long as -7 last week but the injury to Brandon Aiyuk (out) and the illness to Deebo Samuel (questionable) has brought on a lot of Dallas love out of their bye.
- There likely will only be SF and Over money coming in this weekend as the 49ers might get Deebo back, George Kittle is looking fine, and Jordan Mason has been limited all week.
- On the other side, the Cowboys could be without Micah Parsons again as he was DNP at practice Thursday while CB DaRon Bland has also been absent from practice.
- The Cowboys will bring their perfect road record into the Bay area Sunday night as they have wins over the Browns, Giants, Steelers going 2-0-1 ATS on the closing line in those three matches.
Cowboys vs 49ers betting trend to know
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. 49ers.
Cowboys vs 49ers game info
| Location: | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
| Date: | Sunday, 10-27-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC |
Cowboys vs 49ers latest injuries
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