Dak Prescott Odds and SNF Props: Prescott Passes to Wrong Team

The Dallas Cowboys are again riding on a high after their fall from grace two weeks ago. But now they get a prime-time matchup on Sunday Night Football in Santa Clara, CA against the undefeated San Francisco 49ers. 

The matchup is a huge spot for Dak Prescott to quell the haters in the national spotlight against a top Super Bowl contender. He'll need to put up a great performance in order to do just that and beat the Week 5 odds. 

I take a closer look at the Dak Prescott odds and give my best NFL picks for the Cowboys vs. 49ers on October 8. Be sure to keep up to date on the SNF odds and check out our Cowboys vs. 49ers betting preview, along with our Cowboys vs 49ers SNF prop picks.

Dak Prescott SNF prop picks

• Prescott Over 0.5 INT
• Over 0.5 INT/49ers ML/Lamb Over 5.5 rec/Prescott Over 34.5 pass attempts

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Dak Prescott SNF prop pick

Over 0.5 interceptions (-128)

The first thing to look at in this game with Dak Prescott is how you think the game is going to go for the team. There are very different sides to him based on what the score is in the game. When the Dallas Cowboys have the lead, Dak has a quarterback rating of 105.2 with 69 touchdowns to 23 interceptions. However, when the Cowboys are trailing, he has a 91.3 QBR with a TD:INT ratio of 64:34

I think it is much more likely that most of this game will be played with the Cowboys trailing rather than leading considering the San Francisco 49ers have trailed for 1:45 of game time this season. 

The 49ers defense has allowed the most pass attempts in the league at 43.8 attempts per game while pulling in the fourth most INTs in the NFL with five through four games. The combination of several pass attempts against an attacking secondary could spell disaster for Prescott. 

Things get even more hairy for Dak when he is trailing in the final minutes of the game. When the Cowboys are trailing in the final four minutes, he has nine INTs in 259 pass attempts. Cut that down to the final two minutes and Prescott has six INTs in 150 attempts. 

Dak has only played two regular-season games against the 49ers and those came in his first two seasons in the league in 2016 and 2017. However, he has played them twice in the last two postseasons with three interceptions in 80 pass attempts. 

In the one game this season where Dallas found itself behind, Prescott threw a pick. This will be another one of those scenarios and the San Fran defense will be aggressive.

Prop: Dak Prescott Over 0.5 interceptions (-128 at Caesars)

Dak Prescott SNF same-game parlay

Prescott Over 0.5 INT

Prescott Over 34.5 pass attempts

Lamb Over 5.5 receptions

49ers ML

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There are a few plays I like in this game to combine with my best bet for a nice parlay. I'll start with the 49ers moneyline to kick things off. The Niners need to be leading for my analysis to work, so them winning the game will go hand in hand with my props. 

Since the Cowboys will likely be trailing for much of this game, I'm adding the Over in pass attempts for Dak. He had 40 attempts in the Arizona game and the 49ers allow almost 44 attempts per contest.

Finally, let’s take a stab at selecting the biggest beneficiary of Prescott’s high number of pass attempts. I am going to lean on CeeDee Lamb here. The 49ers have been vulnerable to slot receivers with Calvin Austin recording six catches in Week 1 followed by Tutu Atwell with seven, Wan’Dale Robinson with four, and Michael Wilson with seven. 

Lamb averages 7.5 targets per game and 5.8 receptions. I like his chances to get at least six here. 

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