An intriguing Monday night matchup awaits fans and bettors at Arrowhead Stadium as the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Raiders enter this tilt at 1-3 while the Chiefs are 3-1, so Las Vegas needs a victory to keep its AFC West rivals in sight. A big performance from prize offseason acquisition Davante Adams would go a long way toward achieving that goal.
Here are our three favorite Davante Adams prop picks for Monday, October 10.
Davante Adams MNF prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Davante Adams MNF props
Tuddy for Tae
Adams started his first season as a Raider with a three-game touchdown scoring streak, but the Denver Broncos broke that up last Sunday. However — at very generous odds — prop bettors should be prepared to back Adams to cross the goal line once again.
The Chiefs enter this contest ranked 27th in passing defense at 263.8 yards allowed per game. This unit has allowed 10 passing touchdowns through four games, tied with the Washington Commanders and the Tennessee Titans for the most in the NFL at this juncture. Kansas City pass stoppers haven’t given quarterbacks many reasons to be afraid to go the air against them in 2022, as they’ve recorded just one interception through Week 4.
It’s no secret that Adams is one of the most dangerous catchers in football — tallying 11 receiving touchdowns in 2021 — one season after recording an NFL-best 18 scores. Dating back to Week 14 of last season, Adams has notched at least one touchdown in seven of nine games.
Prop: Anytime touchdown (+125)
Sticky fingers
Adams’ reception total is listed at a lofty 7.5 for this tilt, but with juicy odds on the Over, prop bettors should be willing to reach a little bit in this spot.
It’s clear that QB Derek Carr and Adams have rekindled their connection from their time with the Fresno State Bulldogs, with the former looking the latter’s way on 47 occasions in a four-game span — the second-highest mark in the league. Adams has hauled in 26 of those targets, missing only one “catchable” ball (per playerprofile), with no dropped passes on his ledger.
The K.C. defenders have failed just about every test against the NFL’s top wide-outs through four weeks. The Chargers’ Mike Williams burned them for 113 yards on eight receptions (10 targets), the Colts’ Michael Pittman gained 72 yards on eight catches (nine targets), and Mike Evans went for 103 yards on eight grabs (10 targets).
Even if Hunter Renfroe (concussion) returns on Monday following a two-game absence, it likely won’t interfere with Adams’ production. Instead, Mack Hollins is much more likely to see his target share decrease.
Prop: Over 7.5 receptions (+112)
Slow and steady
Though Adams should be expected to get the ball in his hands early and often on Monday night, it’s not a sure thing that he’ll record a game-breaking catch.
Since he earned a 41-yard grab in Week 1, Adams has gone three straight tilts without recording a catch of more than 20 yards. One thing the Chiefs’ pass defense has done well this year is keeping receivers from making highlight-reel plays once they haul in the pigskin, as they rank third in the NFL in opponent yards gained per catch (9.3).
This market seems set just a bit too high — though Adams may eclipse his total yards line of 76.5, bettors should expect it to be done in a gradual fashion.
Prop: Longest reception Under 23.5 (-120)
