Whether you're trying to round out a same-game parlay or searching for the best bets on the board, our Divisional Round NFL picks have got your back!
Take a look at our sides, totals, prop predictions, and more for this weekend's games, and follow this page all the way though from Texans vs. Chiefs on Saturday afternoon to Ravens vs. Bills on Sunday night.
NFL Divisional Round schedule
| Time (ET) | Matchup | Network |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, 4:30 p.m. |  Texansvs.  Chiefs |
ESPN/ABC |
| Sat, 8:00 p.m. |  Commandersvs.  Lions |
FOX |
| Sun, 3:00 p.m. |  Ramsvs.  Eagles |
NBC |
| Sun, 6:30 p.m. |  Ravensvs.  Bills |
CBS |
Texans vs Chiefs best bet, player props, SGP
Texans vs Chiefs best bet
- C.J. Stroud Under 228.5 passing yards (-115
)
C.J. Stroud’s completion rate outdoors is just below 59% (compared to 65% inside), his average yards per attempt sinks to 6.6 (versus eight yards per throw indoors), and his passer rating sits short of 84.0, in stark contrast to a 99.6 rating away from the elements.
The forecast for Saturday’s 4:30 p.m. ET kickoff calls for sub-freezing temperatures and wind gusts flirting with 30 mph, which will make it “feel like” 11 degrees. NFL games see an 8% decrease in passing production in games with temperatures below 25 degrees.
Texans vs Chiefs props
- Patrick Mahomes Under 37.5 passing attempts (-125 )
- C.J. Stroud Over 20.5 passing completions (-130 )
- Joe Mixon Over 16.5 receiving yards (-115 )
Texans vs Chiefs anytime TD picks
Texans vs Chiefs SGP
C.J. Stroud Under 228.5 passing yards
Chiefs -8.5
Isiah Pacheco anytime TD
Stroud’s stats slide outside and he faces the best pass defense in the NFL on Saturday night.
The Chiefs have another gear in the playoffs and will flex their muscle with a big win to start the Super Bowl run.
Isiah Pacheco will get the goal-line carries and is a monster to deal with in the playoffs.
Commanders vs Lions best bet, player props, SGP
Commanders vs Lions best bet
- Zach Ertz Over 3.5 receptions (-113
)
The Detroit Lions' man coverage will take away Jayden Daniels’ top threats like Terry McLaurin and have him settling for his checkdown options.
Zach Ertz has been Daniels’ safety blanket in his first year. He finished the regular season second on the team with 91 targets, hauling 66 of those passes for an average of 3.9 receptions per game.
Commanders vs Lions props
- Jared Goff Under 272.5 passing yards (-117 )
- Jayden Daniels Over 55.5 rushing yards (-117 )
- Terry McLaurin Over 68.5 receiving yards (-117 )
Commanders vs Lions anytime TD picks
Jayden Daniels prop
- Over 234.5 passing yards (-117 )
Commanders vs Lions SGP
Zach Ertz Over 3.5 receptions
Olamide Zaccheaus anytime TD
Commanders +9.5
Ertz’s projections call for four catches, and the Lions defense will force Daniels to check it down to his TE.
Olamide Zaccheaus has been one of Daniels’ favorite options in the home stretch, and while he had a quiet Wild Card Round, he’s demonstrated a nose for the end zone.
I think this game will be closer than the books predict.
Not intended for use in MA.
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