A couple of banged-up AFC squads will meet on Sunday when the Miami Dolphins take on the Indianapolis Colts.
Both teams' offenses are struggling to begin the season, and my Dolphins vs. Colts predictions believe this game is setting up for another low-scoring affair.
Read more in my NFL picks for October 20.
Dolphins vs Colts prediction
My best bet
Under 43.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
My analysis
Although the Indianapolis Colts will be getting Anthony Richardson back for Sunday's matchup against the Miami Dolphins, that is not necessarily a great thing for the offense.
Veteran backup Joe Flacco has arguably looked better under center during A-Rich's absence, boasting a 102.2 passer rating in three appearances this season. Meanwhile, Richardson was a turnover machine before getting injured in Week 4, sporting a dismal 3/6 TD-INT ratio.
Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa is out again for the Dolphins and likely leaves Tyler Huntley to start again. The Dolphins have averaged only 253.7 total yards over their last three games with Tua at quarterback, and they've managed just 12.0 points per game this season, including 10.0 points per game without Tua.
On the other end, the Dolphins defense ranks fifth in yards allowed in the NFL. They also rank third in passing defense and have only allowed three passing touchdowns all season. Considering star running back Jonathon Taylor is still injured, it will be very tough for the Colts to find the end zone in this contest.
Dolphins vs Colts same-game parlay
Under 43.5
Josh Downs Under 4.5 receptions
Anthony Richardson Under 198.5 passing yards
With Richardson at quarterback, there is one wide receiver that is a clear fade.
While Richardson eclipsed 198.5 passing yards in the first two games of the season, he barely surpassed it. Now he faces a much tougher pass defense, as the Dolphins have kept four of the five quarterbacks they have faced below 200 passing yards.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Dolphins vs Colts odds
Dolphins vs Colts live odds
Dolphins vs Colts opening odds
- Spread: Miami +4.5 (-110) | Indianapolis -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Miami +175 | Indianapolis -210
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110)| Under 42.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Dolphins vs Colts spread and Over/Under analysis
- The line opened at Indianapolis -4.5 before falling to 3.5 as of Friday afternoon.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last six meetings and seven of the last eight.
- The total opened at 42.5 before climbing to 44.5 and settling at 43.5.
- Four of the last six matchups between these two teams have gone Under the total.
Dolphins vs Colts betting trend to know
Miami has only hit the game total Over in seven of its last 19 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Dolphins vs. Colts.
Dolphins vs Colts game info
| Location: | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date: | Sunday, 10-20, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
Dolphins vs Colts latest injuries
Dolphins vs Colts weather
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