Does a tie feel worse than a loss? That’s what Philadelphia Eagles fans are mulling over after their team once again failed to crack the win column, settling for a draw with the Cincinnati Bengals at home last Sunday.
The Eagles are on the West Coast hunting for that elusive win as 7-point NFL betting underdogs versus the wounded San Francisco 49ers in Week 4. But if you think the Niners are lame ducks, just ask the New York Giants.
Here are our NFL free picks and predictions for Eagles vs. 49ers on October 4.
Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers betting preview
Weather
The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the low 60s with winds blowing up to 10 mph in the Bay Area this Sunday night. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Eagles: Dallas Goedert TE (Out), Alshon Jeffrey WR (Questionable), DeSean Jackson WR (Out), Jason Peters G (Questionable), Miles Sanders RB (Probable), Lane Johnson T (Probable).
49ers: Jimmy Garoppolo QB (Out), Raheem Mostert RB (Out), George Kittle TE (Probable), Dee Ford DE (Out), Emmanuel Moseley CB (Out), K'Waun Williams CB (Questionable), Nick Bosa DL (Out), Jordan Reed TE (Out), Jerick McKinnon RB (Probable), Deebo Samuel WR (Probable), Richard Sherman CB (Out), Tevin Coleman RB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as home favorites. Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. 49ers.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
There’s some question as to who will be starting at quarterback for San Francisco in Week 4. Regular starter Jimmy Garoppolo is still nursing an ankle injury that kept him out of action last weekend, and he didn’t practice on Wednesday.
That leaves backup Nick Mullens as the likely option. He put up a monster day against New York, completing 25 of his 36 passes for 343 yards and a touchdown in the 49ers’ 36-9 blowout at MetLife Stadium last Sunday.
But that was against the Giants.
Philadelphia’s defense is far stingier, ranked fifth in yards allowed and Top 10 in both run and pass defensive yards. And that’s with the offense coughing up the ball an NFL-high eight times this season. Opponents have been gifted extra kicks at the can, and Philadelphia’s stop unit has played far better than the 29 points per game it’s allowing.
The Niners will be once again missing some major players on both sides of the ball. San Francisco was in full-on survival mode the past two weeks, playing and staying on the East Coast. With two home stands against losing teams in Philly and Miami (before visiting the L.A. Rams in Week 6), I expect a letup and those gaps in the depth chart to be exposed.
PREDICTION: Philadelphia +7 (-110)
Over/Under pick
Carson Wentz is catching a lot of flack for his performance through three weeks. The Eagles top QB lugs a passer rating of just 63.9, completing less than 60 percent of his throws with three touchdowns and six interceptions.
Yep, that’s pretty gross. But he’s also working with depleted skill positions. Philadelphia’s receiving corps is being held together by Scotch Tape and the collective hateful will of Philly sports fans, missing Alshon Jeffrey (questionable), Jalen Raegor (out), and now TE Dallas Goedert (out) and possibly DeSean Jackson (questionable). Whoever is at fault, the results aren’t great.
It’s too bad because a thinned Niner defense could have been ripe for the picking. San Francisco is in Game 2 of life without star DL Nick Bosa (out for season), and is still missing DE Dee Ford, CBs Emmanuel Moseley and K'Waun Williams, and others as of Wednesday’s practice.
The Niners offense is expecting TE George Kittle to return Sunday – a bright spot for an otherwise injury-plagued offense that is missing just as many skill players as the Eagles. Kyle Shanahan knows he has to protect those assets for the remainder of the season, so I don’t expect much from San Francisco’s offense.
PREDICTION: Under 46 (-110)
First Quarter Pick
The Niners managed to score 36 points against the Giants last weekend, despite most of their firepower sitting on the sideline. But could you imagine how much San Francisco would have put up if not for settling for early field goals?
The 49ers opened the scoring with two field goals from Robbie Gould, who would add another three points right before the half. San Francisco failed to punch it in on a pair of long series that both stretched more than five minutes. The Eagles defense has pitched two first-quarter shutouts this season, blanking Washington and Cincinnati in the opening frame.
Philadelphia’s offense has started slowly as well, averaging only 4.3 points in the opening frame on the year. But at 0-2-1, there’s a crushing sense of urgency from Pederson and the Eagles and they’ll come out swinging, trying to rid the bland flavor of last week’s tie game from their mouths.
PREDICTION: Philadelphia first quarter moneyline (+185)
Eagles vs 49ers betting card
- Philadelphia +7 (-110)
- Under 46 (-110)
- Philadelphia first quarter moneyline (+185)
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