Josh Allen Odds and Props for Week 5: Buffalo's Star Quarterback Leads Aerial Assault in London

Josh Allen has found his groove following a shaky start to the season, and we expect the Buffalo Bills gunslinger to show out in London when his team takes on a shaky Jacksonville Jaguars secondary at Wembley Stadium.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Oct 8, 2023 • 08:32 ET • 4 min read
Josh Allen Buffalo Bills NFL
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The NFL is back in London this Sunday, this time from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. It’s another early start for football fans as the Buffalo Bills take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5 odds

After years of London games featuring the NFL’s weaker teams, we have a prime matchup between two of the best quarterbacks in the game, including current MVP favorite Josh Allen.

With that said, let's dive into the NFL odds and find the best NFL picks on Josh Allen odds for the London Game.

Be sure to also check out our full Jaguars vs. Bills betting preview along with our Jaguars vs. Bills prop bets.

Josh Allen Week 5 prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Josh Allen Week 5 prop pick

Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-145)

Sunday marks Josh Allen's debut in London, eagerly anticipated by the British public, as the Buffalo Bills quarterback ranks among the NFL's elite players. Despite a rough start to the season, recent weeks have witnessed a more confident Allen, culminating in his outstanding Week 4 performance where he completed 21/25 passes for 320 yards and four touchdowns. 

On Sunday, we're backing Allen to continue his success in the passing game. I'm willing to overlook his shaky performance against the Jets in the season opener, where he was intercepted three times and managed only one touchdown pass. Everyone has off days, and I believe that was his. In the three games since, he has really improved with his ball security by throwing eight touchdowns while being intercepted just once.

Considering Allen's arm accuracy, his strong supporting cast, and a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that doesn't rank among the league's elite against the pass (21st in the NFL), it's reasonable to envision Allen tossing two or more touchdowns at Wembley.

Prop: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-145)

Josh Allen Week 5 same-game parlay

Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions

Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown

As always for our spotlight articles, we’re starting off with our best bet, which is for Allen to throw for Over 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Jags.

Next up, we’re backing Bills rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid to haul in Over 3.5 receptions. The former Utah man was drafted 25th overall in this year’s NFL Draft is generally playing more like a receiver by often lining up in the slot.

Kincaid has been targeted 17 times in four games and has managed to catch 15 of those passes. His reception line sits at 3.5, a number he’s topped in three of four games this season and one I expect him to exceed on Sunday.

Finally, we’re going back to the well on Kincaid and we’re backing one of Allen’s passing touchdowns to find the 6-foot-4 TE. It’s clear that Kincaid is a factor in the passing game and only four teams have allowed more touchdowns to TEs than the Jags defense this season.

I’m expecting a big day for Kincaid and think he should be able to deliver and showcase why the Bills were so keen to draft him his past April.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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