Best NFL Milestone Bets for Divisional Round: Singletary Leads the Way for Houston

75-plus rushing yards

The Houston Texans might be a heavy dog against the Baltimore Ravens, but THE BLITZ is projecting 83 rushing yards from Devin Singletary, making it one of the best +EV plays of the weekend.

The Texans running back is getting all of the carries in the backfield and saw 13 of the 14 RB carries last week before hitting the bench in the lopsided win.

Houston’s move from indoors to outdoors should increase the rushing frequency as indoor games are always a boost in passing but the opposite is true outdoors. The weather will also help the run game, with decent double-digit winds expected in Baltimore. Houston will aim to maintain a balanced game script, and the Ravens are known for their fast pace on offense, providing ample time for Singletary to get snaps in. 

There is also a chance Houston flips the game script, which would make this a much more favorable bet. His current rushing attempt total is set at 15.5, meaning he would just need 4.4 yards per carry at 17 total carries to cash this wager.

Singletary racked up 5.1 yards per carry vs. Cleveland last week and would have had more work if not for the game script. The RB's projected volume is extremely promising on Saturday, so I'm jumping on his 75+ rushing yards milestone at +200 odds. 

Devin Singletary prop: 75+ rushing yards (+200 at bet365)

50-plus receiving yards

Jordan Love didn’t reach 300 passing yards last week because the Green Bay Packers embarrassed the Cowboys in Dallas, and there wasn’t much need to throw in the second half. However, the game script could look different this weekend with a date vs. the San Francisco 49ers.

The Packers are projected to be much pass-heavier as a 9.5-point road dog on Saturday night, and it was Romeo Doubs getting the majority of the route share in what has become a crowded WR group.

Doubs led all Green Bay receivers in route share last week (68%) with only two WRs posting a RS% above 50%. He also paced the group in air yards (97), targets (six), and finished with six grabs for 151 yards and a score in basically three quarters. If Green Bay is trailing, it will likely be Doubs again getting the lion's share of passes his way. 

His 50-plus receiving yards is currently listed at +190 and is worth a full unit. He has the potential to achieve this with just one catch, but considering the impressive projected volume from last week's statistics, there are various paths to reaching this goal.

Romeo Doubs prop: 50+ receiving yards (+190 at bet365)

25-plus yards

Justin Watson was third on the Kansas City Chiefs in targets and ended up with a 68% route share last week against Miami. 

After Watson, it gets ugly in terms of snaps, but the No. 2 WR might not be a bad option to target this week as a dog who will be facing a depleted Buffalo Bills defense. Having a receiving total of only 18.5 yards puts his milestone of 25+ yards at +140, making it a great bet this weekend. 

Watson is the No. 2 in 2-WR sets and although his yardage isn’t through the roof, he is coming off a season-high 51 snaps and only needs two targets to hit this milestone — something he’s accomplished in nine games this season. 

As the weekend approaches, the Bills face uncertainty with two starting linebackers and a backup, along with four key defensive backs listed as questionable. This situation is noteworthy, and Watson may find favorable matchups in a game that could potentially have a negative game script with Patrick Mahomes passing early and often.

Justin Watson prop: 25+ receiving yards (+140 at bet365)