Panthers vs Bears TNF Prop Bets: Getting Miles Involved

It's not the sexiest Thursday Night Football game we've been treated to, but from a betting perspective, there are plenty of angles to exploit. Our TNF player props take a look at both Panthers RBs and a TE for the Bears who should thrive.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Nov 9, 2023 • 17:51 ET • 4 min read

NFL Week 10 odds give us a Thursday Night Football matchup featuring two bottom-dwelling organizations in the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears. Both clubs are currently leading the way in terms of drafting high at the 2024 NFL Draft. 

Despite the lack of competitive quality, there are plenty of angles from a TNF odds perspective to make this matchup both interesting and worth watching.

Continue reading for my free NFL picks for the Panthers vs Bears on November 9th.

If you're looking for a full-game breakdown, be sure to check out our Panthers vs. Bears predictions as well as our Bryce Young odds spotlight. 

Panthers vs Bears TNF props

Picks made on November 8 at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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Panthers vs Bears TNF props

Prop bet #1: High mileage

When Miles Sanders signed a four-year $24.5 million deal this offseason with the Carolina Panthers and after head coach Frank Reich spoke to his belief that Sanders could operate as an every-down back, many believed the former Eagle was in line for a heavy workload in 2023.

But to date, Sanders has just tallied 69 rushes and 18 receptions on the season and has posted a woeful 3.3 yards per carry while finding the endzone just once. In fact, Sanders as of late has lost the starting job and accompanying workload to Chuba Hubbard and has totaled just 15 carries across the last three games.

But Frank Reich has come out this week and has suggested a more even split moving forward, which is a change in tone from even just last week when Hubbard's workload was spoken about with more emphasis.

Sanders is already coming off a five-target game during which he totaled three receptions and 22 yards, a stat line that would comfortably surpass his prop for this week's game. Adding in even more opportunities would make it even more likely.

Miles Sanders prop: Over 9.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)

Prop bet #2: Hubbard kept in the cupboard

Expanding on the potential value proposition of the Panthers' backfield changing, it would make sense to take a look at Chuba Hubbard's props as well.

Despite being one of the league's worst teams, the Bears rush defense has been quietly very good as of late. They have allowed just 36.8 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs in their last five games - a mark that would be a league-best this season.

Hubbard has also surpassed his 43.5 Week 10 rushing prop in just three of the eight games he has played this year, and as discussed, his situation from all angles does not favor him. Granted with a total as low as 40.5 it just takes one or two modest runs to endanger an Under, but that's a risk worth taking all things considered.

Chuba Hubbard prop: Under 43.5 rushing yards (-132 at Caesars)

Prop bet #3: Cole world

It's often not a good idea to eye the Overs of a player who has caught fire recently, but Cole Kmet may be an exception on Thursday night.

Kmet has put up back-to-back weeks of stellar production, posting six receptions for 55 yards and two touchdowns last week and then another ten receptions for 79 yards the week prior.

It's no coincidence that Kmet's surge has coincided exactly with the time Tyson Bagent has taken over as the Chicago Bears starter, as rookie quarterbacks have historically favored their tight ends given that many tight ends represent a safe outlet option in the passing game.

Sure, a two-game sample is hardly something to be overly reliant on but Kmet has beaten his market consistently even when expanding out the sample, as Kmet has gone over his closing receiving yardage line in four of the last six weeks.

Cole Kmet prop: Cole Kmet over 34.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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