Raiders vs Titans Week 3 Picks and Predictions: Treylon Burks Shines Against Oakland

In a battle of two playoff teams from last year, Oakland and Tennessee are both still searching for their first win of 2022. With Ryan Tannehill's passing options down to slim pickings, we like rookie wideout Treylon Burks to have a big day in Week 3.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Sep 25, 2022 • 08:31 ET • 4 min read
Treylon Burks Tennessee Titans NFL
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The Las Vegas Raiders face a trip to Nashville to meet the Tennessee Titans, and both teams are still looking for their first win of the young season.

Now the Raiders get the road win in Week 3, while the defending AFC South champ Titans attempt to get back on track themselves.

Find where the betting edge lies in our NFL picks and predictions for the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans.

Raiders vs Titans best odds

Raiders vs Titans picks and predictions

The offseason is where misinformation and camp hype dominate the media and narratives are formed, whether they hold much truth or not. Last year, we entered the season convinced that Ja’Marr Chase had a chronic drop problem and could barely catch a football.

This year, we were told about the struggles that the Treylon Burks was having. The 18th overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft, the Titans drafted Burks to replace AJ Brown, who was traded to the Eagles. During this offseason, we heard how Burks was struggling with the playbook, looked slow on the field, and was causing big concern in the Titans' organization.

Fast forward, and after two weeks of the season, he’s the highest-graded rookie wide receiver per Pro Football Focus and has already started to look like a great draft selection. His receiving yards line sits at 38.5 yards for Sunday as the Titans welcome the Raiders to Nashville, and I’m confident that the former Arkansas star can smash the Over.

Burks only has seven grabs on 11 targets through the season, but don’t let that worry you. He’s poised for a big game, and that will come sooner rather than later. He leads this year’s rookie haul in yards per route run at 3.40, ahead of Drake London at 2.76. Impressively that number is fifth in the entire NFL overall, behind only Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, Rashod Bateman, and Jaylen Waddle.

The issue hasn’t been his performance but the lack of targets, and that's due to change. It’s worth noting that he’s eclipsed 38.5 yards in both games so far, with 55 in Week 1 and 47 in Week 2.

Given that the breakout performance from Burks is on its way, you can be confident he hits the Over here.

My best bet: Burks Over 38.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)

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Raiders vs Titans betting preview

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Spread analysis Over/Under analysis Trend to know Game info Injuries Weather

Spread analysis

The line has moved slightly since opening, with the Raiders dropping from 2.5 to 1.5 point favorites. This game is a battle of two 0-2 teams, and one of these teams will finally have a mark in the win column. 

It’s not a start that either team would have wanted, but it’s fair to ask whether they are potentially sitting in a misleading position within their divisions. The Titans only lost by a point to the Giants and then got beaten by the Bills. There’s no shame in losing to Josh Allen and the Bills, but the manner of the defeat (41-7 blowout) is a concern.

The Raiders narrowly lost to the Cardinals last week in a dramatic game and fell to the Chargers the week before that. Those are two very good opponents who’ve beaten them, and they’ve looked solid in both games.

The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against AFC opponents, and with the quality teams that the Raiders have faced in recent weeks, you’d have to make the visitors the favorites here. I'm expecting Las Vegas to cover in this spot.

Over/Under analysis

I’ve got no strong lean here, but the total has dropped from 46.5 to 45.5 since opening, and the trends back it up.

The Raiders have scored a combined 42 points through weeks, with the Titans accumulating just 27. The Under is 6-1 in the Raiders' last seven games overall and 5-1 in their last six games against a fellow AFC team.

Meanwhile, the Under is 6-0 in the Titans' last six home games and 7-0 in their last seven games on grass. 

Raiders vs Titans betting trend to know

The Under is 4-0 in the Raiders' last four road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Titans.

Raiders vs Titans game info

Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Date: Sunday, September 25, 2022
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Raiders vs Titans key injuries

Raiders vs Titans weather

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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