Rams vs Cardinals MNF Prop Bets: Murray Will Run Wild Over Los Angeles' Defense

With the Arizona Cardinals possibly missing running back Chase Edmonds, quarterback Kyler Murray will have to rely on his own footwork against the Los Angeles Rams on Monday. Jason Logan is targeting Murray and two other players in his MNF prop picks.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Dec 13, 2021 • 12:27 ET • 5 min read

Monday Night Football betting gives us a monster matchup in Week 14 when the Los Angeles Rams head to the desert to battle the Arizona Cardinals.

The spread is a tight one, so if you can’t get off the fence with a wager on the side, perhaps you should look to the lengthy list of alternative odds and Monday Night Football prop bets for Rams at Cardinals. Or maybe you just want to sprinkle in more MNF bets among your existing action.

Whatever your flavor, here are our free NFL props picks and predictions for Los Angeles at Arizona on December 13.

Rams vs Cardinals prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Rams vs Cardinals MNF props

With a rushing defense ranked No. 2 in DVOA at Football Outsiders and Arizona potentially down RB Chase Edmonds (game-time decision), the Cardinals are going to need a lot from Kyler Murray to keep the chains moving. 

That also means Murray will be under fire from the Rams’ vaunted pass rush and likely called upon to freestyle with the football when the pocket collapses. Murray faced similar situations in last week’s win at Chicago, breaking free for 59 yards on the ground on 10 carries. 

His injured ankle appears to be solid enough for those trademark scrambles, which is something he needed to do in his last run-in with the Rams. Murray rushed for 39 yards on six runs in a 37-20 victory over Los Angeles in Week 4. 

His rushing yard total for tonight’s rematch is as low as 26.5 with the Over priced at -120. While Murray has gone over that bar just three times in 2021, and L.A. is among the best at slowing rushing QBs, Arizona needs the dual threat to do damage with his legs versus the Rams.

PICK: Kyler Murray Over 26.5 rushing yards (-120 at DraftKings)

Few teams have an answer for Rams WR Cooper Kupp when he gets rolling. However, Arizona has done a better job than most at slowing down the NFL’s leader in receiving yards.

Kupp recorded only five catches on 13 targets for a season-low 65 yards when the Cardinals beat the Rams back in Week 4. For his career, Kupp is averaging a modest 69 yards on just under six receptions per game over seven matchups with Arizona.

The Cardinals rank No. 2 in Defensive DVOA versus No. 1 WRs, holding those top targets to 6.9 grabs and just 44.5 yards per outing. Kupp’s receiving yards prop is as high as 93.5 yards at FanDuel (other books at 90.5) and we’ll be taking the Under -110 with the Cardinals secondary “hanging” with Mr. Cooper tonight.

PICK: Cooper Kupp Under 93.5 yards receiving (-110 at FanDuel)

Sean McVay rekindled his love affair with playaction in last week’s win over Jacksonville and should look to attack Arizona’s soft run stop unit with plenty of handoffs to Sony Michel, which will help set up the play-action pass.

A healthy dose of the ground and pound will have Matt Stafford picking his spots to go over the top off playaction, striking for some home runs when Arizona strays closer to the line. And with the Cards collapsing on Cooper Kupp, who better to be on the receiving end of those deep shots than Odell Beckham Jr.

OBJ had a couple big catches in his last two games with a 27-yard reception last week and a 54-yard dinger against Green Bay. The Cardinals have allowed the fewest passing plays of 20 yards or more (24) on the season, which has Beckham Jr.’s longest receptions prop sitting at attainable 20.5 yards. He actually faced Arizona as a member of the Cleveland Browns back in Week 6, posting one of his best games of the season: 79 yards on five receptions including a 25-yard strike.

PICK: Odell Beckham Jr. Longest Reception Over 20.5 yards (-110 at Bet365)

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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