Ravens vs Buccaneers TD Props: Flowers Shows Pluck For Anytime Touchdown Pick

Ravens vs Buccaneers has a massive total, which means a lot of expected scoring. Jason Logan has pinpointed Zay Flowers and Chris Godwin as his favorite anytime TD picks for Monday Night Football.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 21, 2024 • 10:32 ET • 4 min read
Zay Flowers Baltimore Ravens NFL
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The Baltimore Ravens sail into pirate waters on Monday Night Football, taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a prime-time non-conference clash.

There’s no shortage of firepower on these teams, and the taller total reflects that potential for points. As do the Ravens vs. Buccanneers TD props, listing six players below 2/1 odds to find the end zone.

I size up these clubs, dig into the matchups, and look into the anytime TD props for my latest NFL picks for tonight's Monday Night Football showdown.

Ravens anytime touchdown pick

Zay Flowers anytime touchdown
+155 at FanDuel

Zay Flowers is Lamar Jackson's most active receiving option, leading the Baltimore Ravens in targets by a wide margin. He’s coming off a 9-for-9 game, amassing 132 yards against Washington last week, and faces a similar scheme from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tonight.

The Bucs also bring a lot of blitz and will throw zone coverage at Jackson & Co., which is what Flowers thrived against in Week 6. Flowers is most effective in intermediate to shorter routes and with Tampa Bay bringing pressure, that’s all Jackson will have time for.

Overall, the Bucs defense hasn’t been great against the pass (26th in success rate allowed per dropback) despite playing three rookie QBs in their opening six games. Not only is Jackson the best passer Tampa has played, but its secondary is without top corner Jamel Dean tonight.

With a total this tall, game script calls for a shootout and Flowers has an advantageous matchup against this Tampa Bay stop unit. Player projections sit just shy of 0.4 TDs from the shifty WR, which corresponds with this price.

Buccaneers anytime touchdown pick

Chris Godwin anytime touchdown
+160 at FanDuel

Chris Godwin sits tied with Mike Evans for the team lead in touchdowns with five scores and tops the Bucs in targets, including going 6-for-6 on passes his way in the red zone along with three TDs inside the 20-yard line.

What makes Godwin extra dangerous tonight is his ability to burn this Baltimore defense. The Ravens lean on man coverage at a very high rate and have watched slot receivers do damage, allowing the 11th-most fantasy points in that specific position.

Godwin is lining up the slot more this season and rates out as the Bucs’ top WR versus man coverage. He’s extremely effective on short to intermediate routes (1-19 yards) and faces a Ravens secondary giving up the sixth-highest average depth of target (8.3) and the 11th-most yards after the catch.

Godwin tops the NFL in YAC entering Week 7, with 324 of his total 511 receiving gains coming after the catch. Player projections range from 0.4 to 0.6 touchdowns for No. 14, with my number at 0.48 potential touchdowns. With Godwin giving back +160 in a high-scoring game, I’ll take him for at least one TD tonight.

Looking for more NFL picks? Check out my same-game parlay and more Ravens vs Buccanneers predictions

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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