Two Super Bowl contenders coming off ugly losses meet as the Baltimore Ravens take on the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Week 3.
With both of these defenses having issues in very different ways, we expect two of the game's biggest names to shine in our Ravens vs. Cowboys predictions and NFL picks.
I've isolated three Ravens vs. Cowboys props to target for this late-slate clash on Sunday, September 22.
Ravens vs Cowboys props
- Derrick Henry Over 66.5 rush yds (-115 at BetMGM)
- CeeDee Lamb Over 83.5 rec yds (-111 at BetMGM)
- Ezekiel Elliott Under 43.5 rush + rec yds (-115 at BetMGM)
Read full analysis of each pick.
Ravens vs Cowboys props
Prop bet #1: Derrick Henry Over 66.5 rushing yards
Normally, it doesn’t end all that well when a 30-year-old running back heads to a new team because of the position's short shelf life. But Derrick Henry is a cyborg and the Baltimore Ravens are the perfect fit.
After a quiet Week 1, Henry looked much more like the guy who became a household name with the Tennessee Titans in Week 2. He ran for 84 yards and a score on 18 carries with 66 of the yards coming after contact, per PFF.
He was also credited with four forced missed tackles and ripped off two runs of 15+ yards — the fourth-most of any player in Week 2.
Now taking on the Dallas Cowboys, expect Henry to put together an even bigger performance against a struggling run defense.
Through two games with Mike Zimmer as defensive coordinator, Dallas is allowing 141.5 rushing yards per game and ranks last in the NFL in EPA per rush on defense.
This defense has already missed 15 tackles in just two games and just gave up a combined 154 rushing yards to Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams, both of whom are only a year younger than the "aging" Henry.
With his bruising style and Todd Monken’s willingness to feed him, Henry should blast past 66.5 rushing yards against this defense.
Prop bet #2: CeeDee Lamb Over 83.5 receiving yards
Much like the Cowboys defense, the Ravens unit has a clear flaw. Baltimore is struggling to stop the pass and just allowed Gardner Minshew to take advantage in last week’s loss to the Las Vegas Raiders.
Well, Dak Prescott is a whole lot better than Minshew and that should translate to a strong afternoon for CeeDee Lamb.
In the loss to the Raiders, the Ravens gave up 98+ receiving yards to both Davante Adams and Brock Bowers. Clearly, the top options in an offense can get after a Baltimore secondary that has defensive coordinator Zach Orr’s unit ranked 26th in EPA per dropback.
The Ravens secondary is struggling — particularly Brandon Stephens — and rookie Nate Wiggins is questionable after missing last week due to injuries sustained in a car accident.
Stephens has given up the fifth-most receiving yards in the NFL among cornerbacks (130). But he’s not the only player to blame. Marcus Williams has given up the sixth-most receiving yards among safeties (97) and four starters have allowed a 102.5 QB rating or better when targeted.
Lamb, who’s one of just seven receivers averaging 9+ YAC per reception and 2+ yards per route run, is set up well to have his second straight game of 84+ receiving yards.
Prop bet #3: Ezekiel Elliott Under 43.5 rsuhing+receiving yards
Unlike Henry, Ezekiel Elliott looks his age every time he steps on the gridiron and switching to the number he wore at Ohio State (15) hasn’t rejuvenated him at all.
And while he’s the name everyone knows in the Dallas backfield, he's already giving way to Rico Dowdle. Dowdle has as many touches through two games as Zeke (20) and got the start last week against the Saints. Dowdle had 11 touches for 59 yards while Elliott had 32 total yards on just eight touches.
Between his inability to make plays and Mike McCarthy moving toward Dowdle, Elliott is going to have a tough time reaching 44 rushing and receiving yards.
Factor in the Ravens boast arguably the best run defense in the NFL, and Elliott’s in for a long afternoon.
Baltimore is allowing the fewest rushing yards per game (49.5) and ranks third in EPA per rush on defense.
Behind an offensive line with two rookie starters, Dallas is averaging the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game (85). Elliott’s yet to force a missed tackle and heavy legs aren’t going to overcome that against this defense.
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