Seahawks vs Steelers Preseason Picks and Predictions: QB Competitions Take Center Stage

Preseason can so often feature shocking QB play but in Pittsburgh this weekend, we'll have not one but two QB competitions playing out. Our Seahawks vs. Steelers picks highlight how the two battles will impact the NFL betting outlook here.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 13, 2022 • 16:07 ET • 4 min read
Mason Rudolph Pittsburgh Steelers NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tonight sees a matchup between two squads who have both moved on from Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks this offseason. 

The shadows of Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger will hang over both the Seahawks and Steelers for some time, but this game gives us a chance to see the QB of the future for both teams.

For this game, you need to read our NFL picks and predictions for the Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, with kickoff on August 13.

Seahawks vs Steelers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The spread has largely remained close since the lines opened with the Steelers only moving half a point from 3-point favorites to 3.5-point favorites. The points total has moved 2.5 points though, from 33.5 to 36.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Seahawks vs Steelers predictions

Predictions made on 8/12/2022 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Seahawks vs Steelers game info

Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Date: Saturday, August 13, 2022
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network

Seahawks at Steelers betting preview

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Key injuries

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Betting trend to know

Mike Tomlin is 34-24 as a coach in preseason games. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Steelers.

Seahawks vs Steelers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

Both teams are undergoing a transition at quarterback, but what does that mean for Saturday’s preseason clash? Well, we know that for both teams, there is a live QB battle for that starting spot, that should mean we see a lot of all the candidates. 

The Seahawks have Geno Smith and Drew Lock fighting for the role. Smith performed solidly when called upon last year and is, for now, ahead of the depth chart. Both will see time on the field, and the levels that they show in this game could help force the decision about who’ll start Week 1 to go their way.

There’s a QB battle in Pittsburgh, too, and Mike Tomlin has announced that, as expected, Mitch Trubisky will be starting on Saturday. He’ll be spelled by Mason Rudolph and rookie Kenny Pickett. Trubisky has said this week that it’s all about execution, and he’s right. All three men will have chances to prove themselves in this game and must put their best foot forward.

Throughout camp, it’s been said that Trubisky has been the superior QB, but with the draft capital put into Kenny Pickett, it’s certain that the team will want to see what he has in competitive action. That leaves Mason Rudolph, a solid QB but one who has never looked like a potential franchise solution. He’s due to be the first man up after Trubisky, but this drop to the third-string is surely a matter of time.

We won’t see much of either team’s offensive starters, with the talent in the skill positions likely to only see one or two series. Still, the quality of quarterback on both benches should mean that this remains competitive throughout. 

Mike Tomlin has a strong preseason record as a head coach, at 34-24, and it’s worth noting that it’s only improved as time has gone on, with his record in the past four seasons sitting at 12-4. With that in mind, you have to back that Trubisky, Rudolph, and Pickett will be able to do enough for the hosts to cover.

Prediction: Steelers -3.5 (-110 at bet365)

Over/Under analysis

Picking either side of the points total is always tricky, and in preseason that task is made even tougher. It’s telling, though, that the line has already moved from 33.5 to 36, and some sportsbooks are already posting 36.5. 

We’ve touched upon the quality at the quarterback position and that really is the key here. We probably won’t see much of the defensive first string of either team, with the talent drop-off coming quickly. 

That won’t be the case with the QBs, with Trubisky, Rudolph, Smith, and Lock all having had significant regular season action. For that reason, we’ll back the Over and hope that the talent under center keeps the scoring high.

Prediction: Over 36 (-110 at FanDuel)

Best bet

We’ve spoken about the quality under center for the Steelers, but it really will be key here. In Trubisky and Rudolph, we have two players who have combined for 80 touchdowns in competitive action, plus Pickett, who threw for over 12,000 yards and 81 touchdowns in his time at Pitt.

For all the jokes around Rudolph and Trubisky, these are talented guys. They may not be players you can build a franchise around, but they have the ability to win games, and they should be able to do enough to lead the Steelers to a home win here. 

Take the Steelers moneyline to play things a little safer than the spread.

Pick: Steelers moneyline (-170 at DraftKings)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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