Washington vs Raiders Week 13 Picks and Predictions: Football Team's Surge Continues

The Washington Football Team are in the midst of another second half surge and are pushing themselves into the playoff mix. They meet another feisty team in the Raiders this weekend — find out who we like with our NFL betting picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 3, 2021 • 19:32 ET • 5 min read
Antonio Gibson Washington Football Team NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Football Team are on their best run of the season so far, winning three in a row. Now they enjoy a trip to Sin City to face the Raiders who, despite everything that they’ve been through this season, are continuing to fight for the AFC West.

This is a crunch game for both teams, so read our NFL picks and predictions for the Washington Football Team vs. Las Vegas Raiders to find how it’s going to go down.

Washington vs Raiders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

We’ve not seen a huge amount of movement here. The Raiders have remained 2.5-point favorites since opening and the points total has only risen marginally from 48.5 to 49.5.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Washington vs Raiders predictions

Predictions made on 12/1/2021 at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Washington vs Raiders game info

Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Washington at Raiders betting preview

Weather

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Key injuries

Washington: Ricky Seals-Jones TE (Out), Landon Collins S (Out), J.D. McKissic RB (Out), Wes Schweitzer G (Out), Corn Elder CB (Out), Antonio Gandy-Golden WR (Out), Dax Milne WR (Out), Sam Cosmi OL (Out), Ryan Fitzpatrick QB (Out), Jon Bostic LB (Out).
Raiders: Darren Waller TE (Out), Carl Nassib DE (Out), Patrick Onwuasor LB (Out), Jermaine Eluemunor OT (Out), Kendal Vickers DE (Out), Alec Ingold FB (Out), Tyree Gillespie S (Out), Amik Robertson CB (Out), Richie Incognito G (Out), Trayvon Mullen CB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their past six games as a home favorite. Find more NFL betting trends for Washington vs. Raiders.

Washington vs Raiders picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Both teams should come into this game full of confidence having both won last week. The Raiders will be fresh, having played on Thanksgiving and getting a few extra days of rest. They’re third in the AFC West with the same 6-5 record as the Chargers and Broncos, and only one win behind the Chiefs. 

The Washington Football Team are still two wins behind the Cowboys in the NFC East but anything is possible at this point. The Cowboys have been very inconsistent this season and the WFT have two games against them in the next month, so their hopes of winning the division will still be alive. The Football Team have won three in a row since their bye week and it’s clear that the time allowed for Antonio Gibson to heal up has been beneficial for the team. 

Taylor Heinicke has played so well under center in that run that some are asking whether the team should build around him in the future rather than look to draft a QB in 2022. That is, of course, ridiculous, but it’s a sign of how good this team has played at points in the past three weeks.

You can’t get too carried away with the Football Team’s wins. The Buccaneers have been their only truly elite victory, with the Panthers and Seahawks both having poor seasons, but there’s promise and they’ll need that against the Raiders, who continue to find ways to win.

The Raiders are 26th in defensive DVOA, five spots ahead of WFT, but they’re also 30th in points allowed, at 26.8 per game, which is a real concern.

On offense it’s a different story, with the Raiders scoring nearly three points per game more than the Football Team. The Raiders’ offense is built around one man, Darren Waller, who is listed as questionable. He’s not scored as many touchdowns as last year (only two so far) but he’s the man that Derek Carr looks to feed and move the chains.

When it comes to who’ll win Sunday’s game, it’s really hard to pick a side. Both teams have glaring holes but both are capable of finding a way to win. With everything that the Raiders have had to deal with this year, it’s a miracle that they’re doing so well, but the wheels will come off at some point and what better time than now. 

The Washington Football Team are quietly going about their business and their performances are improving each week. It’s too early to say that they’ll make the playoffs but it’s starting to feel a lot like their second half last year, in which they reached the playoffs and gave the eventual champions, the Bucs, a great game. Back the WFT to cover here.

Prediction: Washington +2.5 (-105)

Neither of these two teams are great defensively and are both in the lower third of the standings in defensive DVOA and points allowed per game. It’s also true that both offenses can have big games but neither team is an offensive powerhouse. 

It’s really tricky to make a call either way on this line and the total of 49.5 feels about right. When we can’t be certain on a side then it’s essential that we look at trends. The Under is 11-2 in Washington’s last 13 against teams with a winning record, and 5-1 in its last six games as an underdog. If you’ve got to pick a side here then the Under seems the most sensible.

Prediction: Under 49.5 (-110)

It’s finally happening, the Washington Football Team are finally unleashing Antonio Gibson. It’s not been the year that many expected for Gibson, with him only getting 20 carries twice in the eight games before the bye. 

Everything has changed since then and a healthy Gibson is clearly a huge part of what the Football Team wants to do on offense. Over the past three games, he’s averaged 24 carries per game. In that three-game spell, his output has improved too, getting 64, 95, and 111 rushing yards in the past three games.

The Raiders give up an average of 125.9 yards per game on the ground, 25th in the league. Gibson should be able to take advantage of their soft defending against the run here.

Pick: Antonio Gibson Over 67.5 rushing yards (-115)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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