One of the of the more fascinating battles in the early window of NFL Week 6 is Commanders vs. Ravens.
The Commanders have won four in a row with rookie QB Jayden Daniels at the helm, while reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson has guided the Ravens to three straight victories.
My Commanders vs. Ravens NFL picks are more concerned with extracting value from the NFL player props than with making spread and total picks for this game, so let's get right into my favorite props for this one, which I've lumped together into a Commanders vs. Ravens same-game parlay with a generous potential payout.
Commanders vs Ravens SGP for NFL Week 6
Derrick Henry Over 80.5 rushing yards
Zay Flowers anytime TD
Terry McLaurin 50+ receiving yards
- Derrick Henry Over 80.5 rushing yards
- Zay Flowers anytime TD
- Terry McLaurin 50+ receiving yards
With Derrick Henry finding the end zone in each of his first five games for the Baltimore Ravens, the value has just about evaporated on his Week 6 touchdown props at -200 or worse for an anytime TD. However, I think his rushing yard Over is still in play.
Henry has rushed for no fewer than 84 yards in each of his last four games. And while there have been some explosive runs of 87 yards and 51 yards lumped in there, Henry has gotten to those marks just as much on quantity as he has on quality.
The Ravens have fed Henry an average of 20.5 times over that four-game sample, and that will be a formula for success vs. a Washington Commanders defense that ranks 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game and 31st in yards allowed per carry.
Zay Flowers looks like the best bang for your buck when it comes to the anytime TD market in this matchup.
The Commanders have had all kinds of trouble bottling up wide receivers, especially in the red zone. Opposing wide-out are averaging two TDs per game vs. the unit, the worst mark in football.
Flowers has just one TD on the year, but he leads the team in targets by a wide margin (39-22) over Rashod Bateman, who is listed as questionable for this contest. Expect Lamar Jackson to lean hard on Flowers when he has to go to the air.
My final Commanders vs. Ravens prediction concerns Terry McLaurin, who should help keep the Commanders in this game.
The Ravens have had all kinds of issues defending the pass in 2024, ranking 31st in yards allowed per game. McLaurin has reached 50 receiving yards in three straight games, averaging 88 yards per game in that sample.
Not intended for use in MA.
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