Week 6 NFL Parlay Picks: Cousins Blows Away Bears in Windy City

The NFL Week 6 odds present another fascinating slate for bettors to consider, and for the first time this season, there are teams coming off bye weeks. I'll back one of those squads in a standard two-leg parlay that features my favorite total wager of the week. 

I'll also dive headlong into the NFL player props and weigh in on the NFL odds concerning Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings in a same-game parlay. Without further ado, here are my best free NFL parlay picks and predictions for Week 6.

Week 6 NFL parlay picks

• Seahawks +3 + PHI/NYJ u41 = +253
• Cousins o248.5 pass yds + Mattison o2.5 receptions + Vikings TT o23.5 = +375

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Week 6 parlay pick

Seahawks +3

Eagles vs. Jets Under 41

+253 at Unibet

Geno Smith might have had to miss Week 5 for the Seahawks with a minor knee injury, but a well-timed bye has given the Seattle signal-caller ample time to recover. The Bengals will have to respect Smith's arm, and that sets up a potentially monstrous day for Kenneth Walker III.

The second-year Michigan State standout has yet to cross the 100-yard plateau through four games, but he was three yards from doing so vs. the Panthers in Week 3, and tallied 79 yards in an effortless win vs. the Giants when last seen. I like the Kenneth Walker odds to hit the century mark vs. a Cincinnati rush defense that's second-worst in the NFL by yards allowed per game and third-worst in yards allowed per attempt.

Just because Joe Burrow passed for 317 yards vs. the Cardinals, with Ja'Marr Chase accounting for 192 yards and three scores, doesn't mean that the Bengals are "back." Cincinnati will find it difficult trying to rush with Joe Mixon, who takes on the league's sixth-best rush defense. The Bengals are 31st in rushing yards per game through five weeks.

As for the Eagles vs. Jets Under play, the NFL weather report indicates conditions conducive to a low-scoring affair. Wet, treacherous ground at MetLife Stadium combined with strong wind gusts means both muted rushing and passing games. The Eagles are a run-first team anyway, and they love to drain the clock on their opponent (second in time of possession).

Jets quarterback Zach Wilson couldn't even crack 200 passing yards against a pathetic Denver defense last week, and Philly is more than adept in stopping the run, ranking first in that department.

I can see why the Eagles are touchdown favorites on the road, even considering the low total. I'm not as confident about laying the points as I am about the Jets struggling to reach double digits, and that will drive this game score down.

Best Week 6 SGP

Kirk Cousins Over 248.5 Passing Yards

Alexander Mattison Over 2.5 Receptions

Vikings Team Total Over 23.5

+375 at DraftKings

I think the books are being way too bearish (pun not intended) on Kirk Cousins' passing yards total this week. Yes, it will be windy in Chicago, and Justin Jefferson is on the IR, but Cousins still has plenty of ways to get to 250 yards through the air.

One thing helping Cousins immensely is the fact that the Bears are second-worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game at 286. They're also tied for the most net yards allowed per pass attempt at 7.7. Cousins is averaging 299.6 passing yards per game, second only to Tua Tagovailoa, and 7.3 yards per attempt (10th). 

Another area where the Chicago defense struggles is in yards after catch, where they're the worst in the NFL. They've also brought down the quarterback only seven times through five weeks, the third-worst mark in football. This gives Cousins many options, both short and long. Considering the weather, along with the absence of Jefferson, I think Cousins will opt to get Alexander Mattison involved in the passing game.

Mattison has only three combined catches over the last two weeks, but had three or more grabs in each of the first three weeks of the year. Considering the Bears have allowed the third-most running back receptions to this point, the Alexander Mattison odds on Over 2.5 receptions is quite generous.

Finally, I'll tack on the Vikings to score at least 24 points, which makes plenty of sense. With wind being an issue I don't see Minnesota settling for field goals, and the Bears are second-worst in the NFL in red zone defense.

Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.

Pages related to this topic