Ladies and gentlemen, it is teaser time! I improved my teaser record to 3-2 last week — shoutout to the Eagles for not scoring on their final possession. We’ve got a little bit of momentum going with two straight wins, but I’m hungry for more and we’ve got some great options to choose from in Week 6 odds.
This week's NFL odds board has a few very obvious candidates who we can tease down inside of a field goal, while there are also a few sneaky underdogs who we can tease up that are worth consideration.
Make sure you’re getting the most bang for your buck with your NFL teaser bets. You’re paying for every half point, so don’t let those them go to waste by teasing through zero. You should also look to follow a basic teaser strategy by going through key numbers — most notably three and seven.
Let’s get into my favorite NFL picks for this week's teaser action. Be sure to also check out Jason Logan's favorite NFL Week 6 predictions!
Week 6 NFL teaser picks
6-point teaser
- Eagles -1
- Rams -1
Picks made on October 14 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Week 6 Teaser
Eagles (-7 to -1) vs Jets
Like the rest of the world, I’ll be throwing the Philadelphia Eagles into my weekly teaser pairing in their matchup with the New York Jets where they have many key advantages. Most notably, New York is allowing the most pressure per dropback in the league, while Philly is generating the fourth most. Zach Wilson won’t be able to breathe back there and we could see him revert to his old self after two respectable performances.
The Jets’ offense has been highly dependent on the run, but that could get snuffed out against an Eagles defense that’s fourth in yards allowed per rush attempt. N.Y. is also dead last in third down conversion percentage. All things considered, this matchup looks like a dead-end for New York’s offense.
Speaking of running the ball, this is where I think Philly's offense will have success. The Jets’ rush defense has been a major disappointment as they rank 25th in yards allowed per rush. The Eagles are sixth in yards per rush, which has allowed them to control the clock as they rank second in time of possession. Expect the offense to play keep away, while their defense will create a lot of empty drives for the Jets.
Rams (-7 to -1) vs Cardinals
Sean McVay owns the Arizona Cardinals. The Rams are on a 10-2-1 ATS roll against them while the Los Angeles Rams have also been strong at bouncing back following a loss. They’ve covered in 63.9% of games after a loss under McVay, but all we need is an outright win by two points.
Los Angeles is passing at the fifth-highest percentage in the league which is a pattern that should continue against a Cardinals defense that ranks 25th in yards per pass attempt allowed. The game sets up very nicely for Matthew Stafford as Arizona is generating the fourth-lowest pressure percentage in the NFL, so he should have a lot of time to throw to his suddenly stacked receiver group.
After a respectable start, the Cardinals have lost their last two games by a combined 35 points and are starting to look like the team many thought they would be coming into the season.
Learn more about teaser betting with Covers’ teaser betting guide.
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Best Week 6 teaser spots
- Eagles (-7 to -1)
- Rams (-7 to -1)
- Seahawks vs. Bengals (+3 to +9)
- 49ers vs. Browns (-6.5 to -0.5)
- Colts vs. Jaguars (+4.5 to +10.5)
Let’s pump the break on the Cincinnati Bengals officially being “back” after their win over the Cardinals last week. Yes, they won by 14 but the game was much closer than the score indicated, with Arizona winning the yards per play battle, but it sabotaged itself with three turnovers.
The Seattle Seahawks are coming off their bye and have rattled off three straight wins. They’ve been fantastic against the run so far, leading the league in yards per rush attempt allowed. The Bengals come into the game ranked 31st in net yards per play while Seattle has been much more well rounded, coming in at 10th.
Under normal circumstances, I’d love the San Francisco 49ers in their matchup against the Cleveland Browns, but we still don’t know if Deshaun Watson will play, while sloppy weather could also impact the game. Still though, there’s a lot that points in the 49ers’ direction.
There’s a major offensive gap with San Fran at second in yards per play, while Cleveland is 27th. The Browns’ defense didn’t look very dominant vs the Ravens last time out, and the 49ers are pretty much obliterating everyone right now — with four of their five wins this season coming by 18 or more points.
The Indianapolis Colts gave the Jacksonville Jaguars a good game in Week 1 and I expect the same this time out. Indianapolis was leading at the end of three quarters in that game and has proven to be a competitive team through five games despite constant uncertainty at quarterback due to Anthony Richardson’s injuries.
The Colts rank higher than the Jags in net yards per play and Jacksonville is in an unusual scheduling spot after playing consecutive games in London. The Jaguars have also made a habit of playing down to the competition at home as they’ve gone 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite in Jacksonville.
Best of luck with your bets in Week 6! Hopefully, you’ll be on the right side of the almost-weekly game where the offense intentionally doesn’t score at the end of the fourth quarter. Catch you again in Week 7!
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