Ladies and Gentlemen, it’s teaser time!
I was the one who was teased last week after thinking the Kansas City Chiefs were a virtual lock to cover their teaser leg in Denver against the Broncos, but it wasn’t to be, and the loss brought my teaser record to 4-4 on the season.
That, unfortunately, is the way she goes when betting on NFL odds as there truly is no such thing as a lock. Every possible area of a game can line up toward one side, but the teams still have to play the game, and occasionally, we get the exact opposite result of what our NFL picks strongly anticipated would happen.
We live to bet another day and another teaser though, so we’ll look to bounce back as Week 9 odds have a handful of great-looking options to get us back into the winner’s circle with our NFL Week 9 predictions. Let’s go!
Week 9 NFL teaser picks
6-point teaser
- Saints -2.5
- Seahawks +12
Picks made on November 2 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Week 9 Teaser
Saints (-8.5 to -2.5) vs Bears
The New Orleans Saints offense is coming off its best game of the season after dropping 38 points and 511 yards on the Colts in Week 8. It was the third straight game that Derek Carr threw for 300-plus yards and this matchup with the Bears sets up nicely for him to fill the stat sheet once again. Chicago is allowing the third most passing yards per game and has a league-low ten sacks while generating the second-lowest pressure percentage in the NFL.
Despite Cris Collinsworth’s best effort to convince us otherwise on Sunday Night Football, Tyson Bagent is not a quality starting quarterback in the NFL. The Saints defense will give him his toughest challenge of the season, and I don’t think he’ll pass the test. The Saints are strong against the pass and force a lot of empty drives as they rank second in opponent third down conversion percentage.
Seahawks (+6 to +12) vs the Ravens
I like the Seattle Seahawks at +6, so I especially like them at +12. These teams have played a similar strength of schedule, and Seattle is close to or better than the Baltimore Ravens in many key stats. The Seahawks aren't far behind them in net yards per play, they have a better run defense and have done a better job at pressuring opposing quarterbacks.
Pete Carroll has earned a reputation for getting his team prepared to play up to the competition as the Seahawks are 19-5 ATS as an underdog of four or more since October of 2011. Conversely, the Ravens are a brutal 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of four or more.
If Baltimore can pull away, there’s some real backdoor potential for Seattle as the Ravens haven’t been finishing strong. They’ve only outscored two of eight opponents in the fourth quarter, while Seattle has outscored five opponents in seven games in the final quarter.
Learn more about teaser betting with Covers’ teaser betting guide.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Best Week 9 teaser spots
- Saints (-8.5 to -2.5)
- Seahawks (+6 to +12)
- Commanders vs Patriots (+3.5 to +9.5)
- Giants vs Raiders (+1.5 to +7.5)
- Bills vs Bengals (+2 to +8)
I understand there’s a sense that the Washington Commanders are throwing in the towel after unloading some defensive talent at the trade deadline, but that doesn’t mean the effort will be absent against the 2-6 New England Patriots, whose only wins this season have come by five and four points. I’m not entirely sure the Patriots are even the better team in this matchup and have serious doubt that their offense, which ranks 31st in scoring with a pathetic 14.8 points per game, will be able to pull away by multiple scores.
New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders is a matchup between teams ranked 30th and 32nd in scoring, so either winning by a large margin is unlikely. While the new era will begin in Las Vegas after Josh McDaniels was canned, I think the Giants are more likely to finish the season strong. Their defense has looked great over their last three games where they allowed just 14, 7, and 13 points while ranking second in the NFL in yards allowed per play. As a result, I think they’ll limit Aidan O’Connell and this Raiders offense.
Everyone has crowned the Cincinnati Bengals as officially being back. And while that very well might be true, the Buffalo Bills have been the better team this season. Even over the last three games, where the Bills have stumbled and the Bengals have rattled off three straight wins, Buffalo ranks higher in net yards per play. While the Bills occasionally have some completely backward performance vs. the likes of the Jets, Patriots, and Giants, they’ve shown an ability to rise to the occasion and compete against upper-tier competition as they’ve gone 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. I expect a tight one on Sunday night!
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