Flames vs Canucks Picks and Predictions: Calgary's Winning Streak Goes to 11

The Flames are red-hot (pun intended) as winners of 10 straight as they travel to Vancouver tonight to face the Canucks. While Calgary will certainly lose at some point, its balanced attack and incredible defense give it the edge in our betting picks.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Feb 24, 2022 • 14:53 ET • 4 min read
Tyler Toffoli Mikael Backlund Calgary Flames NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Calgary Flames will be looking for their 11th straight win tonight when they visit the Vancouver Canucks as -155 favorites on the moneyline. The Flames have outscored opponents 42 to 15 over the streak and began it with a 1-0 OT win over the Canucks in late January. 

Can Jacob Markstrom continue his brilliance and get some support in the Vezina race? Can the Canucks continue to play the Flames well at home? Find out in our free NHL betting picks and predictions for Flames vs. Canucks.  

Flames vs Canucks odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Flames opened as -170 ML favorites but the market has started to swing towards the underdogs as Calgary sits at -155. The total opened at 5.5 and leans to the Over. These two teams met three weeks ago in Calgary where the Flames closed as -195 favorites and won 1-0 in overtime.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Flames vs Canucks predictions

Predictions made on 2/24/2022 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Flames vs Canucks game info

Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
Date: Thursday, February 24, 2022
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet

Flames vs Canucks betting preview

Key injuries

Flames: None.
Canucks: Kyle Burroughs F (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Flames vs Canucks head-to-head record last 10

Flames: 7-3 SU, 33 goals for.
Canucks: 3-7 SU, 26 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 6-0-2 in the Flames’ last eight games as a road favorite. Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Canucks.

Flames vs Canucks picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Moneyline analysis

The Calgary Flames are starting to make some noise as contenders in the West. The trade for Tyler Toffoli further bolstered a Top-10 offense while Calgary already boasts the league's best defense and leads the league with a 2.33 GAA. The Flames have ripped off 10 straight wins and have held opponents to two or fewer goals in nine of those. 

Jacob Markstrom is somehow not the betting favorite for the league’s Vezina award despite owning a 2.06 GAA, a .928 SV%, and a league-leading eight shutouts. Markstrom has already shut the Canucks out once this year and only needed 15 saves to do so. The Flames were -195 home favorites in that game, which still seems short, and leads us to think tonight’s -155 should be closer to -180 on the road.

At 5-on-5, very few teams are better than Darryl Sutter’s squad. They rank first in goal%, Corsi%, goals against, and second in goal differential. Eventually, this streak has to end, but there are few indications that tonight is the end of the road. 

Vancouver comes into tonight’s match having knocked off the Kraken 5-2 two nights ago, and the Canucks are winners of six of their last 10. Outside its win over Toronto, Vancouver has not beaten any great teams recently and is in a different class than Calgary. 

The Vancouver offense is anything but potent and scores the third-fewest even-strength goals per game in the league. There are plenty of trade rumors floating around the Canucks as they are on the outside looking in for a playoff berth, which likely won’t motivate this sluggish offense to overachieve against the scorching-hot Flames. This team managed just 15 shots on net in the last meeting with Calgary. Even getting a power-play goal will be a struggle as the Flames have the league’s third-best penalty kill. To wit, the Flames have allowed just one power-play goal over this 10-game winning streak.

We don’t agree with the slight market move in the favor of the home side and would still play this -155 ML price even if Markstrom sits in favor of Dan Vladar. But with Markstrom getting the shutout in the last meeting — and going 7-2 SU vs. Vancouver last season — we’d lean on him getting the nod.

Thatcher Demko (confirmed starter) has been a bright spot on the Vancouver season but even he couldn’t do enough in the last meeting. 

Prediction: Flames ML (-155)

Over/Under analysis

Since December 1, Demko owns the 10th-best SV% (.923) and ranks 12th in goals saved above expected on the season. He has looked spectacular at times this season and that includes the previous meeting where he stopped 31 of Calgary's 32 shots on goal. But we doubt we’ll see another 1-0 final and with Demko actually 5-1 to the Over across his last six starts, should this 5.5 total be at 6?

The Flames have seen just three totals of 5.5 during this winning streak and are 2-1 to the Over in those three games. The offense is averaging 4.56 goals per game since the last meeting and the Over has yet to lose across the Flames’ last eight road games as a favorite. The Calgary power play is three for its last nine while the Vancouver penalty kill has surrendered six goals over its last four games.

Despite the 1-0 game in the previous meeting, Demko hasn’t been at his best against the Flames. The Vancouver goalie saw Calgary six times last season and finished with a 3.06 GAA and a sub-.900 SV%. Six of the last eight meetings a season ago saw at least six total goals scored. The total has closed on 6 in six of the last 10 meetings.

Calgary has scored at least four goals in seven of their last 10 games and this offense is getting into peak form with scoring potential on its top-three lines. A 5-2 or 5-1 Calgary win is what we’d expect.

Prediction: Over 5.5 (-125)

Best bet

With such a low game total, we’re getting a great price on the Flames’ team total Over 3.5 at +110. The Flames have topped this total in seven of their last 10 games and in five of the last 10 meetings with the Canucks. Additionally, Demko has allowed 11 goals over his last three starts and has struggled versus the Flames in the past. 

Sutter has this team playing its best hockey of the season and the Toffoli addition has nicely rounded out the top-nine. Calgary is a Top-10 even-strength offense and has picked up the slack on the power play of late. This team is playing with a ton of confidence heading into the trade deadline and is facing a Vancouver team that is running out of time for a playoff bid.

Pick: Flames team total Over 3.5 (+110)

NHL parlays

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Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2018, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds. His preferred sportsbook is bet365, which he favors for its extensive range of player prop markets and live betting options.

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