Penguins vs Devils Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Offense Dries Up in Jersey

With Pittsburgh and New Jersey having trouble filling the net lately, Neil Parker expects tonight's Metropolitan Division clash to be a low-scoring one. Find out more in our Penguins vs. Devils betting picks.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Mar 19, 2024 • 15:33 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Time is ticking for the Pittsburgh Penguins and New Jersey Devils, and the two Metropolitan Division foes meet at the Prudential Center on Tuesday. 

New Jersey is a short home favorite in the NHL odds, and both teams need to put together a late-season surge to have any hope of punching a postseason ticket. The Penguins are six points back of the final wild-card spot, and the Devils trail the final seed by seven.

Here are our free NHL picks and NHL player props for Penguins vs. Devils on March 19.

Penguins vs Devils odds

Penguins vs Devils predictions

The Pittsburgh Penguins are mired in a 3-7-1 slump with a miserable 6.4 team shooting percentage and .876 team SV% at five-on-five, ranking third last in PDO (0.939) during the skid. This is despite Pittsburgh treading water in the possession, with a 51.0 Corsi For percentage and 50.2 xGF%.

It’s a similar story for the New Jersey Devils. They’ve dropped 10 of their last 14 contests despite posting a ninth-ranked 52.7 CF% and 11th-ranked 51.5 xGF% at 5-on-5. New Jersey’s 0.973 PDO is the seventh worst during its latest losing skid.

While there’s definitely potential for statistical correction for both teams, each roster also saw talent shipped out ahead of the trade deadline, and neither club appears on the fast track for a late-season push to secure a postseason berth. In particular, I’m chalking up the poor shooting percentages of both teams due to a lack of offensive talent. 

Additionally, New Jersey starter Jake Allen has been excellent in his first two starts with the Devils. He’s turned away 69 of 73 shots (.945 SV%) and allowed just a pair of goals in each outing.

With Pittsburgh starter Tristan Jarry also a ripe candidate for statistical correction, I don’t anticipate the Devils filling the net either. Jarry’s .875 SV% and 4.02 GAA across his past 10 starts are eyesores compared to his .916 and 2.46 marks through 37 total appearances.

My best bet: Under 6.5 goals (-108 at Pinnacle)

Penguins vs Devils same-game parlay

Under 6.5 goals

Timo Meier Over 3.5 shots

The second leg of this same-game parlay focuses on Devils winger Timo Meier, and he’s hit top form since the calendar flipped to March. Meier has cleared this 3.5 total in six of nine games this month, and his 13.67 shots and 22.43 attempts per 60 minutes pace the Devils.

Meier is also leading the club with a 59.3 CF% at 5-on-5 during the stretch and is projected to skate on the No. 1 power-play unit. There’s also a decent advantage to betting this SGP through DraftKings. FanDuel has it priced at just +261, so the odds of +294 at DK present a positive expected value of 8%.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Penguins vs Devils moneyline and Over/Under analysis

There has been movement to the Pittsburgh moneyline (+105) as of early Tuesday afternoon at bet365. The Penguins opened at +115 at the shop, and this is a consensus move across sportsbooks. While it isn’t surprising to see this move given how poorly each team has played recently, I’m not anticipating a notable adjustment leading into puck drop.

The total hasn’t moved at bet365 or Sports Interaction from the opening 6.5, with the Under trading at -115. It’s also a consensus number, with the Under carrying the higher vig across the industry.

Penguins vs Devils betting trend to know

The total has gone Under the number in five of New Jersey's past six games. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Devils.

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Penguins vs Devils game info

Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ
Date: Tuesday, March 19, 2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: SN-PIT, MSGSN

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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