Time is ticking for the Pittsburgh Penguins and New Jersey Devils, and the two Metropolitan Division foes meet at the Prudential Center on Tuesday.
New Jersey is a short home favorite in the NHL odds, and both teams need to put together a late-season surge to have any hope of punching a postseason ticket. The Penguins are six points back of the final wild-card spot, and the Devils trail the final seed by seven.
Here are our free NHL picks and NHL player props for Penguins vs. Devils on March 19.
Penguins vs Devils odds
Penguins vs Devils predictions
The Pittsburgh Penguins are mired in a 3-7-1 slump with a miserable 6.4 team shooting percentage and .876 team SV% at five-on-five, ranking third last in PDO (0.939) during the skid. This is despite Pittsburgh treading water in the possession, with a 51.0 Corsi For percentage and 50.2 xGF%.
It’s a similar story for the New Jersey Devils. They’ve dropped 10 of their last 14 contests despite posting a ninth-ranked 52.7 CF% and 11th-ranked 51.5 xGF% at 5-on-5. New Jersey’s 0.973 PDO is the seventh worst during its latest losing skid.
While there’s definitely potential for statistical correction for both teams, each roster also saw talent shipped out ahead of the trade deadline, and neither club appears on the fast track for a late-season push to secure a postseason berth. In particular, I’m chalking up the poor shooting percentages of both teams due to a lack of offensive talent.
Additionally, New Jersey starter Jake Allen has been excellent in his first two starts with the Devils. He’s turned away 69 of 73 shots (.945 SV%) and allowed just a pair of goals in each outing.
With Pittsburgh starter Tristan Jarry also a ripe candidate for statistical correction, I don’t anticipate the Devils filling the net either. Jarry’s .875 SV% and 4.02 GAA across his past 10 starts are eyesores compared to his .916 and 2.46 marks through 37 total appearances.
My best bet: Under 6.5 goals (-108 at Pinnacle)
Penguins vs Devils same-game parlay
The second leg of this same-game parlay focuses on Devils winger Timo Meier, and he’s hit top form since the calendar flipped to March. Meier has cleared this 3.5 total in six of nine games this month, and his 13.67 shots and 22.43 attempts per 60 minutes pace the Devils.
Meier is also leading the club with a 59.3 CF% at 5-on-5 during the stretch and is projected to skate on the No. 1 power-play unit. There’s also a decent advantage to betting this SGP through DraftKings. FanDuel has it priced at just +261, so the odds of +294 at DK present a positive expected value of 8%.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Penguins vs Devils moneyline and Over/Under analysis
There has been movement to the Pittsburgh moneyline (+105) as of early Tuesday afternoon at bet365. The Penguins opened at +115 at the shop, and this is a consensus move across sportsbooks. While it isn’t surprising to see this move given how poorly each team has played recently, I’m not anticipating a notable adjustment leading into puck drop.
The total hasn’t moved at bet365 or Sports Interaction from the opening 6.5, with the Under trading at -115. It’s also a consensus number, with the Under carrying the higher vig across the industry.
Penguins vs Devils betting trend to know
The total has gone Under the number in five of New Jersey's past six games. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Devils.
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Penguins vs Devils game info
Location: | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
Date: | Tuesday, March 19, 2024 |
Puck drop: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | SN-PIT, MSGSN |
Penguins vs Devils latest injuries
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