Yesterday’s article went a cool 3-0 SU for +6.2 units as all three line stack props hit. It’s been a great run with the correlated line point props, and I’m leaning into them again today after they’ve cashed 28 units since last Tuesday.
These are my three favorite NHL player props for Friday, March 14.
NHL player prop bets today
Lee + Pageau o0.5 points each (+350 at bet365)
Guenther + Hayton o0.5 points each (+155 at bet365)
Eberle + Stephenson o0.5 points each (+300 at bet365)
Best NHL player prop bets for March 14
Anders Lee + Jean-Gabriel Pageau Over 0.5 points each (+350 at bet365)
Second line and PP2 stacks at +300 or better have become some of my favorite stack targets. Anders Lee and Jean-Gabriel Pageau each had a point vs. the Kings in their last game despite the Islanders scoring just a single goal — they also had another goal waved off.
The Islanders will face goalie Calvin Pickard, who has ranked as one of the worst netminders in hockey this year and was chased in his last start before completing 20 minutes.
The Oilers are navigating rough waters as they are 3-7 SU since the restart and playing their second game in as many nights following a 3-2 loss to the Devils.
This line should get around 35-40 percent of the power-play time and the same amount of 5-on-5 top as the Kyle Palmeri line. The Lee/Pageau line had a 65% xGoal% vs. the Kings and could be getting more time as no line with Anthony Duclair should be leading a team in ice time.
This is the better play than Duclair, Palmeri, and Brock Nelson for a point each at +425.
Dylan Guenther + Barrett Hayton Over 0.5 points each (+155 at bet365)
The Dylan Guenther + Barrett Hayton stack has been the things dreams are made of. It hit Wednesday vs. Anaheim at +140, again on Monday at +190 vs. Toronto, and again last Thursday vs. the Red Wings for +210.
The price has been adjusted — but not enough. These two have pointed in the same game five times over the last eight games and tonight’s matchup is another great spot.
The Kraken are without a chunk of their roster after trades at the deadline while goaltender Joey Daccord has fallen off a cliff. He's allowed three or more goals in all six of games since the restart and owns a 4.27 GAA with a .850 save percentage over that stretch.
Utah is playing for the postseason and I love betting second lines on the road — no second line is playing better than Guenther and Hayton these days. I’d play these guys to +140.
Jordan Eberle + Chandler Stephenson Over 0.5 points each (+300 at bet365)
Sometimes you might not love the matchup, but the price is the deciding factor. That’s where I am with the Chandler Stephenson and Jordan Eberle stack. The Kraken juggled up the power play last game and put these two on the first power-play unit that saw 75% of the PP ice time vs. the Canadiens on Wednesday.
Getting any pair on PP1 at +200 or better is a deal but because markets are slow to react, bettors are getting a gorgeous price.
It’s an okay matchup at home vs. Utah who has a league-average PK, but Seattle went 2-for-3 with the man advantage last game so their role is cemented. Eberle finished with three assists in the 5-4 win while Stephenson had two helpers himself.
This line is cooking and that price is way too long.
Live NHL odds
Here are the full NHL odds for all of today’s matchups.
Not intended for use in MA.
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