Arsenal vs Liverpool Predictions & Picks for Sunday’s EPL Matchup

Arsenal will be the more desperate team on Sunday as they can't afford to fall much further behind Liverpool, even at this early stage of the season. Expect the Gunners to grab at least a point at home.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Oct 26, 2024 • 11:52 ET • 4 min read
Havertz EPL Arsenal
Photo By - Imagn Images

Arsenal are desperate to get something from this crucial game vs. Liverpool as they look to pursue their dreams of finally winning back the Premier League trophy.

Liverpool's fantastic start to the campaign saw them climb to the top of the Premier League table, but I believe they will not win three points at the Emirates on Sunday. Here are my Arsenal vs. Liverpool predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, October 27.

EPL predictions for Arsenal vs Liverpool

My best bet:
Arsenal to win or draw (-239 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Liverpool have been setting records under new manager Arne Slot lately. For the first time in the club's history, they won their first six away games of the season and also started on 11 wins from the 12 matches they played in total.

On the other side, Arsenal are now third in the Premier League, four points behind Liverpool. After a convincing start to their campaign, Arsenal surprisingly lost to Bournemouth last weekend.

The match against Liverpool is essential for Arsenal's campaign, and they shouldn't leave the pitch empty-handed. If they do win, Liverpool will be seven points clear of Arsenal at the top. 

Arsenal are involved in the domestic cups and in the Champions League, so they need to be as consistent as possible in order to avoid a slip in the Premier League. Since a 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa in April, Arsenal have won nine matches at home with one draw. Emirates is their fortress and it should stay this way if they want to matter in the race for silverware.

Last season, Arsenal won four points against Liverpool, beating them 3-1 in north London and drawing 1-1 at Anfield. Liverpool got some sort of revenge thanks to a 2-0 win in an FA Cup match. In the Premier League, Liverpool last triumphed against Arsenal in March 2022, when they came out 2-0 winners from a trip to the Emirates.

Given the importance this match has for Arsenal's entire campaign, the motivation to prove themselves after a shock-defeat to Bournemouth, and the "Emirates" factor, Arsenal should be able to keep home at least a point.

To those ready to explore more, note that the simple draw is at +235 via TonyBet. I'll settle for the double chance favoring Arsenal at -239.

Arsenal vs Liverpool same-game parlay (SGP)

Arsenal to win or draw

Under 6.5 cards

Over 10.5 corners

Experienced ref Anthony Taylor will take charge in this match. He's not the type to keep a tight pocket, but he rarely exceeds the six cards threshold. From his last 32 games, he showed more than six yellow cards in just eight.

By no means is this Arsenal vs. Liverpool clash going to lack tension, but I can't see a repeat of what happened at the Emirates when these two confronted last season (nine bookings, including a red card).

Much action is expected in both boxes. Set pieces could prove to be decisive and both Arsenal and Liverpool love corners. I'm going for Over 10.5 to round up my parlay.

Liverpool had at least seven corners in five of their eight Premier League games this season, while Arsenal enjoyed no fewer than 34 in their last three matches alone.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Arsenal vs Liverpool odds

Arsenal vs Liverpool live odds

Arsenal vs Liverpool opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +150 | Liverpool +190
  • Draw: +235
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-113) | Under 2.5 (-106)

Arsenal vs Liverpool side and Over/Under analysis

  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 12 Premier League matches.
  • Liverpool have been winning at both half time and full time in six of their last seven Premier League matches.
  • Arsenal have won six and drawn one of their last seven home matches in the Premier League.

Arsenal vs Liverpool game info

Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
Date: Sunday, 10-27-2024
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN
Weather: 57F, 5 mph winds, 10% PoP.
Arsenal recent EPL form L-W-W-D-W
Liverpool recent EPL form W-W-W-W-L

Arsenal vs Liverpool key injuries

Arsenal: Calafiori CB (out), Saliba CB (out), Timber CB (out), Tomiyasu RB (out), Odegaard AM (out), Saka RW (out).
Liverpool: Alisson GK (out), Harvey Elliott AM (out), Federico Chiesa RW (out), Diogo Jota ST (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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