Both teams are having very different seasons but both Burnley and Manchester United need to start picking up points in order to achieve their aims.
United are battling for a Champions League spot while Tuesday’s hosts Burnley are fighting for their Premier League survival. Don’t miss our Burnley vs. Man United tips and predictions.
Burnley vs Manchester United match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Burnley vs Manchester United betting tips
Predictions made on 2/7/2022 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Burnley vs Manchester United game info
• Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England
• Date: Tuesday, February 8, 2022
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: USA Network, Peacock Premium, fubo TV, Sling Blue
Burnley vs Manchester United betting preview
Weather
The game kicks off at 8 p.m. local time and it’s going to be a cold, wet windswept night in Burnley with temperatures just under 50 degrees but with heavy rain.
Injuries
Burnley: No injuries to report.
Manchester United: Victor Lindelof CB (Out), Eric Bailly CB (Out).
Burnley vs Manchester United predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Side analysis
Neither set of supporters will be overly happy with how their team has performed this season. Burnley are still languishing at the bottom of the Premier League table while Manchester United sit in fourth but with West Ham, Arsenal, and Spurs all in close pursuit, it’s no sure thing that they finish in the top four and earn a spot in next year’s Champions League.
It wasn’t long ago that Man United fans mocked Arsenal faithful for changing their target from Premier League glory to merely finishing fourth in the league. Life comes at you fast, and that’s been especially true this year for Manchester United. With the arrivals of Cristiano Ronaldo, Jadon Sancho, and Raphael Varane, expectations were sky-high for the Red Devils with many speculating they could battle their cross-city rivals for the title. Just a few months later and Man City are 19 points clear of them and — in footballing terms — they may as well be on another planet.
Ralf Rangnick replaced Ole Gunnar Solskjær in November and the team hasn’t really improved as much as many anticipated. It’s too soon to call the interim coach a failure but it seems very unlikely the team would look to extend his stay in the dugout. The team is capable of brilliant, commanding periods in games, such as the first half of last Friday’s FA Cup tie against Middlesborough, but they often look disjointed, just as they did in the second half of that game.
This Man United team is very much like Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde and you don’t really know what you’re going to get at any time of the game. The justified absence of Mason Greenwood has been felt in the attack where they could do with his sharpness and movement. The flip side to that is the welcome return of Paul Pogba. Rangnick will hope that Pogba’s influence can remain strong as he regains his match fitness and plays more regularly following his injury.
We know what Sean Dyche will offer United on Tuesday. Burnley will be set out with four at the back. They’ll keep the midfield compact and look to play on the counter in order to steal a goal. Burnley might not play the most exciting brand of soccer but they have a man in Dyche who understands his players' abilities and knows what it takes not to lose. Their survival won’t be decided by how they perform against Man United, it’s decided in results against teams in similar areas of the table, such as their 0-0 draw with Watford on the weekend. If Burnley could even get a point from this game, it would be a huge bonus and boost for their season.
Dyche’s Burnley have tied their past two games and incredibly six of their past nine in the Premier League. They work hard and they’ll be well organized against Man United’s attack. If you’ve seen this United team play recently you’ll know how disjointed it can be. The team is struggling to transition to attack and seems devoid of confidence, especially when things go against them. With Dyche setting his team up to not get beaten he can frustrate United and take advantage of any lapses of judgment. The draw at +300 looks like great value, especially with United as -175 favorites implying a 63.6% chance that they win. That percentage is just too high and a draw feels like a wiser place to put your money.
Prediction: Draw (+300)
Over/Under analysis
Like I mentioned, this Man United team is hard to read. They could turn up on Tuesday and score four but they’re even more likely to turn up and score zilch. They only managed a 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough in the cup last week and before that only managed a 1-0 win over West Ham.
We know exactly what we’ll get from Burnley and that’s a defensive effort to frustrate United. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 62.5% of Burnley’s games at Turf Moor this season and you can expect it to come in again.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals (+100)
Best bet
Mike Dean takes charge of this game and it’s well known that he loves to be center stage. The 53-year old referee has cameoed in Ted Lasso and there’s nothing more he’d like than to be the talking point in this game. He’s averaged Over bookings per game in his 15 Premier League games this season and with Burnley setting up to thwart Man United you’d expect there to be bookings in the Clarets team.
If you read our picks for Burnley vs. Watford on Saturday, you’ll remember that we went 2-1 on our bets with the only one to not land being Ashley Westwood to get booked. We were unlucky and we’ll again be backing the former Aston Villa player to get a card. He has six yellow cards this season and will have a tough day’s work against Bruno Fernandes and Paul Pogba in the middle of the park.
At odds of +240 there is real value on the 31-year old and he could well find himself getting a booking here. The chances of him getting in trouble with the referee certainly feel larger than the 29.4% chance implied by the odds.
Pick: Ashley Westwood to get booked (+240)
