Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Picks and Predictions: Goals the Only Constant For Palace, the Reds

Liverpool and Crystal Palace are both pictures of maddening inconsistency in the league this year. We can't be confident in either side but goals at both ends would appear likely — our EPL picks have more.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Feb 23, 2023 • 12:51 ET • 4 min read
Trent Alexander-Arnold Liverpool FC EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’ve got a late kickoff in Saturday’s Premier League slate, with Crystal Palace welcoming Liverpool to Selhurst Park. Just four positions separate the two clubs at the start of the weekend, which is not something that many Liverpool fans would have predicted before the season began.

Can Patrick Vieira’s team get one over on Jurgen Klopp and stun his Liverpool side? Don’t miss our Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool picks and predictions.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool best odds

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool picks and predictions

Both teams come into this game in mixed form. Crystal Palace sit 12th in the table but they haven’t won in eight games across all competitions. Liverpool, meanwhile, won their two previous league games 2-0 but then got smashed 5-2 midweek by Real Madrid, despite holding a two-goal lead at one point. 

It’s hard to recommend betting on either team to win at the moment, however, in our hunt for the best bet of this game we need to consider goals. That’s why I’m backing Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, which is available at odds of +120 and makes a lot of sense from a betting angle.

Despite Palace struggling for wins recently, they have scored in four of their past five in all competitions. They’ve averaged just shy of a goal per game and have conceded over one per game. 

Then you have Liverpool who, as we saw midweek, are dangerous in front of goal but all over the place defensively. The likes of Virgil van Dijk and Trent Alexander-Arnold have been heralded previously but neither are playing at the level of which they are required currently.

Both teams to score has hit in four of Palace’s past five games, 58.3% of Palace’s games at Selhurst Park in the league, and 54.5% of Liverpool’s games away from Anfield. The trends also show us that there have been Over 2.5 goals in 72.7% of Liverpool’s games on the road, with just one game having below three goals since mid-October.

At +120 we don’t have a massive price but Over 2.5 and both teams to score seems like the smartest bet around for Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool.

My best bet: Over 2.5 and both teams to score (+120 at bet365)

Best EPL bonuses

Looking to bet on EPL action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet of up to $1,000! Sign Up Now

B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best soccer betting sites for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool side analysis

The home side will play a 4-2-3-1 with Cheik Doucoure and Arsenal loanee Albert Lokonga holding the midfield, battling with Liverpool’s three, and, hopefully for Palace fans, providing a platform for Michael Olise and Jordan Ayew to create chances for Jean Phillipe Mateta. 

It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Eberechi Eze return to the starting lineup here with his ability to travel with the ball being something that could cause Liverpool issues.

For Liverpool, it’s the familiar 4-3-3 and the back four should write itself with Joel Matip now available to play alongside Van Dijk, with Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson at fullback. 

The midfield is an issue, with Jordan Henderson and Fabinho looking far from the players that they used to be, with age catching up with them. They’re not as quick as they have been previously, with Fabinho’s limitations being cruelly exposed against Real Madrid last Tuesday. 

The young Stefan Bajcetic will be alongside them and almost suffers from the exact opposite, showing in the Champions League that he can sometimes be naïve, especially when receiving the ball from his back four. 

We should see Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, and Cody Gakpo continue to try and find their feet as an attacking three, but we could even see Diogo Jota make a return to the lineup.

There’s still so much attacking talent on display for Liverpool that it’s hard to avoid backing them but given how inconsistent they’ve been recently, you just can’t in all good faith suggest wagering on them to win this one, especially at odds of -135.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Over/Under analysis

Given the best bet for this game is Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, it’s clear that I’d lean towards backing Over 2.5 goals. 

In addition to the facts above, it’s worth noting that Palace have seen Over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 at home to Liverpool, with Liverpool scoring at least two in their eight previous games at Selhurst Park. 

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool game info

Location: Selhurst Park, London, England
Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: fuboTV

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool key injuries

Crystal Palace: Sam Johnstone GK (Out), Wilfried Zaha FWR (Out), James Tomkins CB (Out), Tyrick Mitchell LB (Questionable), Joel Ward CB (Questionable).
Liverpool: Thiago CM (Out), Luis Diaz FWR (Out), Arthur CM (Questionable), Joe Gomez CB (Questionable), Ibrahima Konate CB (Questionable).

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool recent form

Teams Last five matches
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace D-D-L-D-D
Liverpool Liverpool L-D-L-W-W

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool weather

A cloudy day in London will mean temperatures will be around 40 degrees at kickoff.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo