Liverpool vs Aston Villa Predictions & Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

Things could not be going any better for Liverpool as they sit atop both the EPL and Champions League tables. With a goal-scoring record that few can rival, Emanuel Rosu believes goals are on the cards as the Reds welcome Aston Villa to Anfield.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Nov 8, 2024 • 19:21 ET • 4 min read
Liverpool EPL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Now this is a game that should set pulses racing! I expect loads of action and entertainment at both ends (read "goals").

Two Champions League sides confront at Anfield in a much-anticipated English classic. Record-breakers Liverpool face Unai Emery's surprise pack in their last Premier League appearance before the international break and my Liverpool vs. Aston Vila predictions expect goals. 

Read on for my Premier League predictions for Saturday, November 9.

EPL predictions for Liverpool vs Aston Villa

My best bet:
Over 3.5 (+120 at TonyBet)

My analysis

If we're talking recent history, know that there have been over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of the last 15 confrontations between Liverpool and Aston Villa in all competitions. Liverpool is in a great moment, as they started life under new manager Arne Slot on a high. The Reds have scored at least twice in 12 of their last 14 Premier League games. Reporting back to Aston Villa, Liverpool have netted at least two times in eight of their last ten clashes with the team from Birmingham.

The 4-0 win over Leverkusen in the Champions League helped Slot's record go on. He's now the Premier League manager who's won more games in all competitions than any other head coach at this stage of their tenure. Under the Dutchman, Liverpool have won 14 of their first 16 matches this season. But Villa will be also looking to up their play, as they are on a losing streak that could extend to four consecutive games if they don't contain Liverpool attacking prowess. I think they will be able to score as well in this tie, but Liverpool looks well-equipped to keep the points at home while also scoring to delight their supporters. If you feel there's more juice in this match, TonyBet has an excellent +270 return for the over 4.5 goals option.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 3.5

Liverpool 1H moneyline

Over 4.5 corners

There should be much tension in this, apart from the goals. Both teams come after a torrid few weeks, with games in the Champions League, the League Cup, as well as the Premier League. This creates the perfect context for cards, so I wouldn't leave them out of my parlay. Referee David Coote will be in charge for this match. He has shown at least three cards per game in each of his last 16 outings.

Liverpool will look to put things straight as fast in the game as possible, to avoid the energy slipping away in the second half. I believe they will look for goals in the first half in order to conserve their resources in the second part of the game, given that international matches are just days away and a lot of the players in both teams will need to report for duty for their respective countries.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Liverpool vs Aston Villa odds

Liverpool vs Aston Villa live odds

Liverpool vs Aston Villa opening odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool -223 | Aston Villa +540
  • Draw: +420
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 -205 | Under 2.5 +170

Liverpool vs Aston Villa side and Over/Under analysis

  • Liverpool have seen over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 matches against Aston Villa in all competitions.
  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 14 Premier League matches.
  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals in eight of their last ten matches against Aston Villa in all competitions.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa game info

Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
Date: Saturday, 11-9-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN
Weather: Text
Liverpool  recent EPL form W-D-W-W-W
Aston Villa  recent EPL form L-D-W-D-D

Liverpool vs Aston Villa key injuries

Liverpool: Alisson Becker GK (out), Harvey Elliott CM (out), Federico Chiesa RW (out), Diogo Jota FW (out).
Aston Villa: Matty Cash RB (out), Ross Barkley CM (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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