Liverpool vs Chelsea Predictions & Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

With a chance to put some distance between themselves and Arsenal, Liverpool host Chelsea on Sunday morning in what's sure to be an electric fixture. Given the talent on display, Emanuel Rosu can't help but think goals are in the cards.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Oct 20, 2024 • 08:15 ET • 4 min read
Mo Salah Liverpool EPL
Photo By - Imagn Images

This should be Premier League football entertainment at its best, as two spectacular teams clash at Anfield on Sunday in a much-anticipated encounter. And you can't avoid mentioning "goals" when Liverpool and Chelsea confront.

Liverpool will be without their usual starting goalkeeper Alisson, while Chelsea will miss Wesley Fofana and Marc Cucurella in defense due to suspension. An open, attacking game should be in store, given the potential in both sides and the context of the game. My Liverpool vs Chelsea predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, October 20 go for goals ahead of anything else.

EPL predictions for Liverpool vs Chelsea

My best bet:
Over 3.5 (+102 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Both Liverpool and Chelsea love scoring and they play to create context for goals. Since the start of the season, Liverpool average of just under two goals scored per match, while Chelsea are at 2.28. Before this clash, Liverpool sit atop the Premier League table with 18 points in seven games, while Chelsea sit seventh, on 14 points. The West Londoners have improved their form massively compared to last season. They only lost once since the start of the current campaign, in the opening round of the season, against champions Manchester City (0-2). Ever since, Enzo Maresca's men did their best to show Chelsea is back among the EPL elite. And now is their chance to test themselves in front of another title contender.

Recent history favors Liverpool. They have won their two previous direct matches vs Chelsea, one home and one away, at the beginning of 2024. First, they hammered the Blues 4-1 in the Premier League at Anfield in January, then they beat them in the League Cup final 1-0, at the end of February. Chelsea have been massively underachieving over the past years but that seems to have changed since Enzo Maresca took the strings this summer. The Italian loves attacking football and relies on his players' huge attacking potential to make a difference. In-form Cole Palmer scored six goals for Chelsea since the start of the campaign, while Luis Diaz netted five times for Liverpool. This could be one of the key goal-scoring duels at Anfield but don't rule out the likes of Mo Salah, Cody Gakpo, Noni Madueke, or Nicolas Jackson to have their names engraved in the story of this battle.

Liverpool will be without star keeper Alisson, another detail that might fuel up Chelsea's attacking potential. Caoimhin Kelleher will come in to replace him between the Liverpool sticks. Alisson will miss out a few more games due to injury and is expected to return to action in a month. Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana won't be able to feature for Chelsea due to injury.

Liverpool vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 3.5

Mo Salah to score

Over 10.5 corners

Mo Salah hit the net for Liverpool in three of their last four matches. The 32-year-old is in great form and feels extra-motivation when he's facing former club Chelsea. Since he moved to Anfield in 2017, the Egyptian scored a total of four goals and assisted another four when he played against Chelsea. He last hit the Chelsea net in 2022. He's now on a three-match goal drought in front of his former club, which he feels well equipped to end on Sunday afternoon.

There will be much action at both ends, so expect chances. And corners! Both teams have strength and creativity on the wings and the managers will look to use it. As a result, the probability to see over 10.5 corners in this clash is really high.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Liverpool vs Chelsea odds

Liverpool vs Chelsea live odds

Liverpool vs Chelsea opening odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool -170 | Chelsea +400
  • Draw: +370
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-239) | Under 2.5 (+200)

Liverpool vs Chelsea side and Over/Under analysis

  • Liverpool have drawn eight of their last nine matches against Chelsea in all competitions.
  • Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight Premier League matches.
  • There have been over 3.5 goals scored in three of the last four matches Chelsea was involved in in all competitions.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in their last six away league games since a 5-0 defeat at Arsenal in April, winning five.

Liverpool vs Chelsea game info

Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
Date: Sunday, 10-20-2024
Time: 10:30 a.m. ET
TV: USA Network
Weather: Text
Liverpool  recent EPL form W-W-W-L-W
Chelsea  recent EPL form D-W-W-W-D

Liverpool vs Chelsea key injuries

Liverpool: Alisson GK (out), Harvey Elliott AM (out), Federico Chiesa RW (out)
Chelsea: Wesley Fofana CB (out), Marc Cucurella LB (out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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