Manchester United vs Bayern Munich Predictions and Picks: Expect a Desperate Offense at Old Trafford

Despite some rough outings of late, Manchester United haven't had issues scoring in their Champions League matches. With a win necessary on Tuesday, our UCL picks expect more of the same against Bayern Munich.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 10, 2023 • 16:01 ET • 4 min read
Rasmus Hojlund Manchester United EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tuesday’s Champions League action sees Manchester United hosting Bayern Munich at Old Trafford.

The Bavarian team are already locked in as winners of Group A but United are somehow still in contention to qualify for the next round despite winning just one group game thus far.

Will they be able to navigate a tricky Bayern Munich team who may rest some of their big names with qualification already secured? Don’t miss our free betting picks for Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich below to find out. 

Manchester United vs Bayern Munich best odds

Manchester United vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions

When these groups were drawn, this game in particular stood out with a potential homecoming for Harry Kane back to England, but it’s not clear yet if the England captain will even play, let alone start. 

With their status as winners of Group A secured and amid a big Bundesliga battle, there’s a very strong chance that Thomas Tuchel will rest some of his biggest stars and that includes Kane.

However, after a 5-1 thumping from Frankfurt on Saturday, will he want his starters to have a chance to get back to winning ways? It’s an intriguing question and one which makes predicting this game tricky.

Despite picking up just four points in five games, Manchester United are still in contention to reach the knockout stages of the Champions League. They sit a point behind both Copenhagen and Galatasaray, who also meet on Tuesday. If that game finishes a draw and United beat Bayern, it will be them who progress.

There’s maybe even more at stake for Erik ten Hag, who's on the hot seat after an awful 3-0 defeat to Bournemouth. It feels like his position is becoming increasingly tough and a bad defeat here could potentially further increase that pressure further.

Despite this being a poor season for Manchester United, my best bet for Tuesday’s game is for ten Hag’s men to score in each half. You might wonder why given some of the dysfunction at the club but in truth, they’re still finding a way to score in Europe.

They’ve scored in both halves of three of their five UCL games so far, netting 12 total goals, which is the most in Group A, even more than the 11 scored by Bayern Munich. Their issue has been conceding goals, and they’ve let in some howlers. This attack can cause the opposition problems.

With United facing what could potentially be a second-string Bayern Munich team, I think it’s only going to encourage them to push for goals and to try and pull off what would be a shock by qualifying for the next round.

The one thing we know is that United need goals, so I’m expecting them to look to score early, coming out of the blocks quickly supported by the Old Trafford crowd. 

You’re getting +195 on Manchester United scoring in both the first and second halves, which is excellent value considering they have to win this game to stand any chance of reaching the knockouts, and Bayern Munich will almost certainly be resting some of their starters.

My best bet: Manchester United to score in both halves (+195 at TonyBet)

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Manchester United vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay

Manchester United to score in both halves

Rasmus Hojlund anytime goalscorer

Both teams to score: Yes

On top of Manchester United to score in both halves, we're going to back Danish Striker Rasmus Hojlund to find the back of the net. 

He's yet to open his account in the Premier League but he’s scored five times in his five Champions League outings this season. He'll start on Tuesday and has a good chance of finding his name on the scoresheet once again.

To wrap it up, we’re going to back both teams to score. Bayern Munich have too much attacking talent and even if most of it starts on the bench, I would expect to see the big names come on against a United team that allowed 14 goals in the group stages this year.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Manchester United vs Bayern Munich side and Over/Under analysis

You can get +160 on a home win, +145 for the Germans to take the three points, or the draw at +280.

Given we simply don’t know what sort of lineup Thomas Tuchel will select for Bayern Munich, I advise staying away for now.

There’s also no value to be had by backing goals. Both teams to score comes in at -222 and Over 2.5 goals at -200. I’m pretty certain that both of those bets would win but at such short prices, it simply isn’t worth backing.

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Manchester United vs Bayern Munich game info

Location: Old Trafford, Manchester, England
Date: Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Paramount+
Weather: Temp: 43F, POP: 0%, Wind: 5 mph, Conditions: Dry and cloudy following rain in the morning. 

Manchester United vs Bayern Munich key injuries

Manchester United: Lisandro Martinez CB (Out), Tyrell Malacia LB (Out), Casemiro CM (Out), Chrsitian Eriksen CM (Out), Jadon Sancho FWR (Out).
Bayern Munich: Matthijs de Ligt CB (Questionable).

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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