Man United vs Leicester City Picks and Predictions: Old Trafford Upset

Leicester City has been playing well lately, while Man United has dropped two out of their last three league games. We are on upset alert Saturday, backing Brendan Rodgers' club on the road. Find out more in our Man United vs. Leicester City EPL picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Apr 1, 2022 • 17:44 ET • 4 min read
James Maddison Leicester City EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Premier League finally returns on Saturday after an international break and the final game on Saturday could be a real shootout.

Manchester United welcome Leicester City to Old Trafford and will be hoping that the break has rejuvenated their stars after a disappointing few months.

Celebrate the return of the Premier League by tuning into this game. Don’t miss our Man United vs. Leicester picks and predictions to find out how it should play out.

Man United vs Leicester City match odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Man United vs Leicester City betting tips

Predictions made on 4/01/2022 at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Man United vs Leicester City game info

Location: Old Trafford, Manchester, England
Date: Friday, April 1, 2022
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN

Man United vs Leicester City betting preview

Weather

We’ll be seeing stereotypical Manchester weather when this game kicks off on Saturday. It’ll be wet and cloudy with temperatures in the mid-40s.

Injuries

Man United: Edinson Cavani F (Out), Luke Shaw D (Questionable), Mason Greenwood F (Suspension).
Leicester City: Mard Albrighton M (Questionable), Ryan Bertrand D (Out), Jamie Vardy F (Out), Danny Ward G (Out), Wilfred Ndidi M (Out), Luke Thomas D (Out). 

Man United vs Leicester City predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Side analysis

After a two-week international break, the Premier League returns and we pick up where the season was left.

The final game of an action-packed Saturday sees Man United welcome Brendan Rodgers and his Leicester team to Old Trafford. While some fans would have been counting down the days until the return of club football, it’s likely that some players would have enjoyed the time away.

It’s been a tough season for Man United as they enter this weekend sixth in the Premier League. They’re now battling with Arsenal and Spurs for that final Champions League spot and it’s the Gunners who sit in the driving seat and don’t look like giving up anytime soon.

While they get better and better with each game, it’s been a frustrating season with the team, often taking one step forward and two steps back. Sometimes you see glimmers that Rangnick’s coaching is getting through to the players, and then at other points, they look like a group of players who haven’t ever met before.

Since their last Premier League game, they’ve been knocked out of the Champions League by Atletico Madrid and are now in a rare situation for this club, having no trophies to fight for at the start of April. The atmosphere at United has looked toxic for some time with various reports coming out of the dressing room.

You’d certainly have thought that a lot of those players would have enjoyed the time away with the national teams. Harry Maguire was booed by some idiotic England fans but the team supported him and his on-field performance was good. Cristiano Ronaldo, Diogo Dalot, and Bruno Fernandes helped their teams qualify for the World Cup in Qatar.

The sheer volume of players at United who went away with their teams is high compared with Leicester, and the miles racked up traveling could be an issue. Leicester are welcoming back long-term injured players Wesley Fofana and Jonny Evans, although it’s hard to know if either will play. 

Two players who won’t be playing are talisman Jamie Vardy and Wilfred Ndidi. Vardy is injured and Ndidi has had season-ending surgery. We should see Rangnick set his team up in their usual 4-3-3 with Rodgers likely to send Leicester out in a 3-4-3.

Man United are the bookies' favorites but the odds of -200 are so short that they really can’t be backed. Man United aren’t consistent and have only won one of their past five games in all competitions. At those odds, it makes no sense to back them when this game feels so evenly poised.

After a dreadful start to the season, Leicester have kept improving and went 3-1 in their four Premier League games during April. If you’re looking for value, then you have to bet on Brendan Rodgers' men who have the defensive shape and ability to frustrate Man United and hit them on the counter and bag those three points.

Prediction: Leicester +500 (Odds)

Over/Under analysis

Man United's games have been fairly mixed this season with 48.3% of their matches seeing three or more goals, most notably their last home game in which they beat Spurs 3-2.

They’ve scored plenty this season but they’ve been bad at the back, giving up more goals than any of their rivals in the race for the top four. Meanwhile, there have been over 2.5 goals in 69.2% of Leicester’s games on the road this season. Not only that, but the first time they met this season the game finished with six goals.

Given that history, I’d lean toward backing Over 2.5 goals here even if the odds aren’t attractive.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals (-180)

Best bet

Manchester United’s Portuguese magician Bruno Fernandes has been a revelation since he arrived from Sporting Lisbon in 2020. He’s scored goals, provided assists, and has become the team’s primary creative force.

It’ll be a week of celebration now that he’s been rewarded with a new contract and sealed a place at the World Cup with his country. Alongside his brilliance with the ball, there is one other thing that Fernandes has become known for since his arrival in the Premier League. He’s picked up seven bookings in 26 games, an average of a card every 3.7 games. That rate has increased slightly from last season and you can often see that Fernandes is exasperated with his club’s poor performances.

Saturday’s game will be officiated by Andre Marriner who gives out an average of 3.47 yellows per game. If United struggles to get a handle on the game early, then Fernandes will get frustrated and the odds of him getting booked when battling against a tough midfield including Youri Tielemans are high. 

Pick: Bruno Fernandez to get booked (+390)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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