Man United vs Leicester City Predictions, Picks & Odds for Friday’s FA Cup Match

Man United and Leicester City both bring leaky defenses into this FA Cup clash. Our soccer betting picks believe both offenses will be clicking in Old Trafford.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
Feb 6, 2025 • 12:50 ET • 4 min read
Bruno Fernandes Man United soccer
Photo By - Imagn Images. Bruno Fernandes takes a shot.

Manchester United looks to pick up their third win of the season against Leicester City when the two sides meet in an FA Cup match at Old Trafford on Friday.

The Red Devils are mired in 13th in the Premier League table but have already knocked Leicester City out of the EFL Cup and defeated them in league play. Ruud van Nistelrooy — who managed Manchester United in both of those outings — leads his Foxes hoping to repeat another upset as they did two weeks ago against Tottenham.

Find out why these struggling defenses should get punished in our Manchester United vs. Leicester City predictions and free betting picks for Friday, February 7. 

Man United vs Leicester City picks and predictions

My best bet:
Over 2.5 and BTTS — Yes (-113 at TonyBet)

My analysis
It’s tough to trust Manchester United at the moment, given their recent run of form. They’ve lost five of their last seven at Old Trafford, and have just two regulation victories in their last 10 matches against Premier League opponents.

But Leicester aren’t any easier to trust. The Foxes lost 4-0 to Everton over the weekend, their eighth defeat in 10 matches, as they sit third-bottom in the table and are staring down the threat of relegation yet again.

When faced with a match where neither team is performing well, I like to see where their frailties lie. Mental errors at the back are a common theme for both sides. 

The Red Devils haven’t kept a clean sheet at home in their last seven matches across all competitions, while Leicester City’s last clean sheet came on October 5 at home to Bournemouth.

Making matters worse for the home side, they lost Lisandro Martinez to an ACL injury in the defeat to Crystal Palace. That robs them of one of the top progressive passing center backs in the Premier League. The Red Devils are already struggling to defend set pieces, and now will have to rely on a player trying to make passes with his off-side foot on the left of a three-man back line.

Nothing helps a team struggling to score like being gifted chances. Leicester conceded from the opening kickoff against Everton, and have repeatedly conceded goals of late off the back of costly errors. And Leicester showed against Tottenham that, while they’re struggling, they’re able to go on the road and get a shock result against a team with a leaky defense.  

Leicester have nothing to lose by going for a win here, while the Red Devils know this is likely their best chance at silverware. I expect both teams to score here with at least three being put in the back of the net, both of which have happened in over half of Leicester’s last 21 outings.  

Bruno Fernandes props

Bruno Fernandes has scored in just three of Manchester United’s 11 matches, so his price of +142 to score anytime feels a bit low for me. One of those goals came from the penalty spot, and Leicester have conceded just one penalty in all competitions this season. While he’s still got a solid chance to score, I’d like to see +160 or better here.

With just one assist in his last 12 matches, I also feel his price of +179 should be higher. He’s averaging just 0.21 xA per 90 minutes this season, despite creating nearly 2.3 chances per 90.

Bruno is -313 to take 3+ shots, with four or more priced at +102. One effort on goal is -334 with two or more priced at +154. 

I would pass on all of these markets. In his last five matches, Bruno has gone 90 minutes and has taken a total of 11 shots, with just two of those efforts on frame. 

I do think there’s value to be had in his passing props, however. Bruno is -105 to have 68+ passes, and +125 to have 72 or more passing attempts. Over his last six matches, he’s averaged 81.2 passes, and has cleared the 70-pass mark in each of those outings. 

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Man United vs Leicester City odds

Manchester United Man United Manchester United Leicester City
-278 Moneyline +680
+489 Draw +489
Over 3.5 (+114) Total Under 3.5 (-136)

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Man United vs Leicester City opening odds

  • Moneyline: Man United -320 | Leicester City +650
  • Draw: +450
  • Over/Under: Over 3.5 | Under 3.5

Man United vs Leicester City side and Over/Under analysis

  • Manchester United are -278 to win in regulation on the 3-way money line. A draw will pay at +489, while those backing Leicester to pull off the upset within 90 minutes can get odds of +680.  
  • Manchester United has defeated Leicester twice this season, including 5-2 in their EFL Cup tie. The Red Devils have also won four straight against the Foxes, and are unbeaten in the last five meetings.
  • The total sits at 3.5 goals, with the Over priced at +114 and the Under getting -136 odds.
  • There have been four goals in four of the last nine meetings between these sides. Manchester United’s last four matches have all gone Under 3.5 goals, while Leicester have seen at least three goals scored in 16 of their last 21 matches.

How to watch Man United vs Leicester City

Location Old Trafford, Manchester, UK
Date Friday, 2-7-2025
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather 38F, 15-25 mph winds, 50% PoP.

Man United vs Leicester City key injuries

Man United: Lisandro Martinez D (Out), Luke Shaw D (Out), Mason Mount M (Out).
Leicester City: Ricardo Pereira D (Out), Wilfred Ndidi M (Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on soccer since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

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